AU - Townsville - Race 7

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

14.5K

VIEW

Verdict

DIAMOND LUCY (9) is in good form, having won a 3yo+ Class 3 at Bowen by just under a length and she is already proven at this track and distance. Can repeat the dose. HELL OF A BENTLEY (4) is the main danger after a one-length third at this track on soft ground. Has third-up fitness in his favour, though he is still chasing a first 6f win. CERETTI (12) comes off a clear-cut Maiden win at Bowen and has the right profile, but she is new to this venue and steps back into a deeper race. Watch the markets. TSUNAMI (5) has been racing consistently, gets weight relief and his previous track-and-distance win keeps him in the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Comes in as the leading chance off a 3yo+ Class 3 win at Bowen, where she settled midfield, travelled well and beat Next Stop Jupiter by just under a length. She had been fourth to Mr Sugar Daddy at this venue before that, but has since strengthened the form. Proven at this track and distance and in winning form this season, she has the most reliable case. 1st Pick 9 Diamond Lucy Jockey: Sean Cormack Trainer: Troy Clive J: Sean Cormack T: Troy Clive	114	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Comes in as the leading chance off a 3yo+ Class 3 win at Bowen, where she settled midfield, travelled well and beat Next Stop Jupiter by just under a length. She had been fourth to Mr Sugar Daddy at this venue before that, but has since strengthened the form. Proven at this track and distance and in winning form this season, she has the most reliable case.
4	Improved nicely third-up when third at this venue over 5f, beaten a length after sitting handy and only being run down late. The run prior was better than ninth looks, as he was slow away and beaten just under three lengths. He has placed twice from four tries at this track and distance, so the 6f is workable and he rates a major winning hope. 2nd Pick 4 Hell Of A Bentley Jockey: Paul Hammersley Trainer: Leslie Gordy J: Paul Hammersley T: Leslie Gordy	111	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Improved nicely third-up when third at this venue over 5f, beaten a length after sitting handy and only being run down late. The run prior was better than ninth looks, as he was slow away and beaten just under three lengths. He has placed twice from four tries at this track and distance, so the 6f is workable and he rates a major winning hope.
12	Broke through well at Bowen, winning a Maiden over 5f by two and a half lengths after settling just off the lead and driving late. That was a clear turnaround from her Eagle Farm FM Maiden eighth at big odds. She is new to this venue and steps to 6f with only one placing from three tries, but the last-start win gives her genuine momentum. 3rd Pick 12 Ceretti Jockey: Ben Kennedy Trainer: Zac Mcfarlane J: Ben Kennedy T: Zac Mcfarlane	151	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Broke through well at Bowen, winning a Maiden over 5f by two and a half lengths after settling just off the lead and driving late. That was a clear turnaround from her Eagle Farm FM Maiden eighth at big odds. She is new to this venue and steps to 6f with only one placing from three tries, but the last-start win gives her genuine momentum.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.