AU - Townsville - Race 7

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 7

23.5K

VIEW

Verdict

CHERRY ROSE (2) returned in fine fashion with a strong win at Rockhampton before maybe suffering from the dreaded second-up syndrome last time out. Ready to peak now third run back and a return to form is expected. OBLIGATED (4) resumes here but has a handy record first-up with a win and a second from three fresh attempts. Makes plenty of appeal. NORTHERN PRIDE (1) is yet to miss a drum in four starts over this course and distance and rarely puts in a poor one. Shapes as one of the leading contenders. TAMBO'S JUSTICE (7) has won six from nine overall here on his home circuit and shouldn't be underestimated. TYCOON BEAU (6) next best despite the sticky alley.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up favourite, won by 1.0 len at Rockhampton Hcp November 14 over 5 ¼f in soft going defeating Heartoni with 129lbs at $2. Second run from a spell 4th of 11 at Rockhampton Hcp on December 18 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Track Tale carrying 133lbs at $1.80. Racing well. Jumps from a wide draw but she should be in this for a long way. 1st Pick 2 Cherry Rose Jockey: Ashley Butler Trainer: Jamie Mcconachy J: Ashley Butler T: Jamie Mcconachy	188	-	-	-	40%	6/4
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up favourite, won by 1.0 len at Rockhampton Hcp November 14 over 5 ¼f in soft going defeating Heartoni with 129lbs at $2. Second run from a spell 4th of 11 at Rockhampton Hcp on December 18 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Track Tale carrying 133lbs at $1.80. Racing well. Jumps from a wide draw but she should be in this for a long way.
4	Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation won by 2.25 len Mackay Hcp September 4 over 7 ¾f defeating Sir Rocket with 121lbs at $1.80. Previous preparation first-up favourite, won by 0.6 len Mackay 3yo Hcp May 1 over 6f defeating Lonhy's Fabre carrying 133lbs at $1.55. Looks very hard to beat. 2nd Pick 4 Obligated Jockey: Adam Sewell Trainer: Lyle Wright J: Adam Sewell T: Lyle Wright	106	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation won by 2.25 len Mackay Hcp September 4 over 7 ¾f defeating Sir Rocket with 121lbs at $1.80. Previous preparation first-up favourite, won by 0.6 len Mackay 3yo Hcp May 1 over 6f defeating Lonhy's Fabre carrying 133lbs at $1.55. Looks very hard to beat.
1	Last start raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.7 len at Mackay Hcp December 6 over 7 ¾f defeating Moktaffy with 138lbs at $4.60. The start before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 at Mackay Hcp on November 21 over 6 ½f, neck behind Divine Okay with 138lbs at $2.50. Going well and rates highly. 3rd Pick 1 Northern Pride Jockey: Aidan Holt Trainer: Tom Button J: Aidan Holt T: Tom Button	197	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Last start raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.7 len at Mackay Hcp December 6 over 7 ¾f defeating Moktaffy with 138lbs at $4.60. The start before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 at Mackay Hcp on November 21 over 6 ½f, neck behind Divine Okay with 138lbs at $2.50. Going well and rates highly.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

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A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.