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5:54 AM

AU - Townsville - Race 6

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
5f
OPEN
Turf
SOFT 7
14.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SATISFIED MUGS (1) has hit a purple patch this campaign putting dominant back-to-back wins together. Has three wins and a placing from five attempts over this course and distance and gets some well-needed weight relief with the 7lbs claim. Rates the testing material against this line-up. BANG STICK (2) has placed two from three around this circuit and will strip fitter second-up from the break. Rates among the leading hopes. DRAGON TALES (3) loves this sprint journey with a win and three seconds from just four outings. Top-three commodity. OLD GOLD (5) has been racing well at Rockhampton at the past couple and can trouble the judge with any luck in running. EVAREADYMISS (9) saluted on debut and looks to have plenty of upside. In the mix.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Satisfied Mugs silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming favourite, won by 3.5 len at Cairns 3yo Hcp November 16 over 4 ¾f defeating Dragon Tales carrying 133lbs at $1.30. Second run from a spell favourite, won by 3.5 len at Cairns 2&3yo Hcp November 25 over 4 ¾f defeating Nordic Invader carrying 139lbs at $1.14. Hard to beat on his best form.

1st Pick
1

Satisfied Mugs

Jockey: Fiona Sandkuhl

Trainer: Georgina Holt

J: Fiona Sandkuhl

T: Georgina Holt

178---34%2/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming favourite, won by 3.5 len at Cairns 3yo Hcp November 16 over 4 ¾f defeating Dragon Tales carrying 133lbs at $1.30. Second run from a spell favourite, won by 3.5 len at Cairns 2&3yo Hcp November 25 over 4 ¾f defeating Nordic Invader carrying 139lbs at $1.14. Hard to beat on his best form.

2
Bang Stick silk

Second run back. First-up after five months made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 7 at Rockhampton 3yo Hcp on December 9 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Next Legacy carrying 126lbs at $3.20. Previously second-up 3rd of 13 at this track 2yo SW on June 7 over 6f, slow going 2.25 len behind Sheza Alibi with 126lbs at $21. Fitter and looks hard to beat.

2nd Pick
2

Bang Stick

Jockey: Ashvin Goindasamy

Trainer: Tom Button

J: Ashvin Goindasamy

T: Tom Button

165---14%13/2

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after five months made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 7 at Rockhampton 3yo Hcp on December 9 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Next Legacy carrying 126lbs at $3.20. Previously second-up 3rd of 13 at this track 2yo SW on June 7 over 6f, slow going 2.25 len behind Sheza Alibi with 126lbs at $21. Fitter and looks hard to beat.

3
Dragon Tales silk

Returns from a 42-day let-up. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at Cairns 3yo Hcp on November 16 over 4 ¾f, 3.5 len behind Satisfied Mugs carrying 128lbs at $6. Before that won by 0.6 len at Home Hill Bm55 November 1 over 5f in soft going defeating Torera with 130lbs at $2. Low draw and expected to go well.

3rd Pick
3

Dragon Tales

Jockey: Adam Sewell

Trainer: Georgina Holt

J: Adam Sewell

T: Georgina Holt

102---5%20/1

Analysis

Returns from a 42-day let-up. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at Cairns 3yo Hcp on November 16 over 4 ¾f, 3.5 len behind Satisfied Mugs carrying 128lbs at $6. Before that won by 0.6 len at Home Hill Bm55 November 1 over 5f in soft going defeating Torera with 130lbs at $2. Low draw and expected to go well.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.