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5:29 AM

AU - Townsville - Race 6

Thoroughbred
20 Runners
9.9f
Quality Handicap
Turf
SOFT 5
105.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

The feature race on the card, the $150,000 Townsville Cup. QUOTHQUAN (1) was a touch disappointing in the Mackay Cup last time out but the form prior was good enough for a race of this nature. Is one from one over this course and distance and should get a gun run in transit from gate four. Watch for a much improved performance. ODEGAARD (7) is a very consistent campaigner who has remarkably hit the top-four in 16 of his past 17 starts and doesn't know how to run a bad race. Is two from two around this circuit and has to be included in calculations. Former Victorian galloper LEG DRIVE (6) hails from a handy family (half to G3 winner Violate) and has grown a leg since moving up north. Top-three credentials. GOING NUCLEAR (9) is a seven-time winner here on his home circuit and shouldn't be discounted lightly. ZOOLOGY (2) rounds out the selections in a competitive contest.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Quothquan silk

Most recently eased back early on 10th of 14 at Mackay Mackay Cup Qlty on July 25 over 1 ¼m, 7 len behind Journalism carrying 127lbs at $6.50. The race before that 2nd of 12 at Rockhampton Qlty on July 11 over 1m, on a slow track, 2 len behind Keitel with 127lbs at $4.80. Prepared to forget last start, capable of turning things around.

1st Pick
1

Quothquan

Jockey: Dylan Turner

Trainer: John Dann

J: Dylan Turner

T: John Dann

219---10%9/1

Analysis

Most recently eased back early on 10th of 14 at Mackay Mackay Cup Qlty on July 25 over 1 ¼m, 7 len behind Journalism carrying 127lbs at $6.50. The race before that 2nd of 12 at Rockhampton Qlty on July 11 over 1m, on a slow track, 2 len behind Keitel with 127lbs at $4.80. Prepared to forget last start, capable of turning things around.

7
Odegaard silk

At the latest run made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Mackay Mackay Cup Qlty on July 25 over 1 ¼m, 0.8 len behind Journalism with 117lbs at $6. The run before that came from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Mackay Hcp on July 17 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Journalism with 125lbs at $2.70. In form and will be hard to beat.

2nd Pick
7

Odegaard

Jockey: Les Tilley

Trainer: Joshua Manzelmann

J: Les Tilley

T: Joshua Manzelmann

100---16%11/2

Analysis

At the latest run made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Mackay Mackay Cup Qlty on July 25 over 1 ¼m, 0.8 len behind Journalism with 117lbs at $6. The run before that came from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Mackay Hcp on July 17 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Journalism with 125lbs at $2.70. In form and will be hard to beat.

6
Leg Drive silk

Half-brother to Group 3 winner Violate. Most recently 2nd of 8 at Gold Coast Cl5 on July 25 over 1m, slow going nose behind Moonshine Run carrying 137lbs at $1.80. The race before that favourite, won by 0.5 len at Gold Coast Hcp July 4 over 1m defeating Chayse 'N' Artie carrying 121lbs at $2.45. No surprise to see him back in the winners' circle.

3rd Pick
6

Leg Drive

Jockey: Tasha Chambers

Trainer: Matt Kropp

J: Tasha Chambers

T: Matt Kropp

120---17%5/1

Analysis

Half-brother to Group 3 winner Violate. Most recently 2nd of 8 at Gold Coast Cl5 on July 25 over 1m, slow going nose behind Moonshine Run carrying 137lbs at $1.80. The race before that favourite, won by 0.5 len at Gold Coast Hcp July 4 over 1m defeating Chayse 'N' Artie carrying 121lbs at $2.45. No surprise to see him back in the winners' circle.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.