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4:02 AM

AU - Townsville - Race 4

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
8f
Class 3
Turf
SOFT 5
15.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SMART MISSION (6) has a win around this circuit and will be rock-hard fit for this contest. Reunites with winning hoop Cormack and should be right there when at the business end. ELLIS BEACH (3) was a touch plain at the latest effort but the two wins prior were good enough for a race of this calibre. Can bounce right back. The well-related SHE'S A BEAUTY (5) (half to 2xG2 winner and 3xG1 placed Barb Raider) has been a model of consistency of late and it's hard to knock mares in form. Include with Wiggins on board. TALONS (4) doesn't win out of turn but is usually thereabouts and may trouble the judge with any luck in running. MORDECAI (7) rounds out the selections in a race with only a handful of chances.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Smart Mission silk

Comes here off a 30-day let-up. At the latest run 5th of 9 at Mackay Cl3-Sw on May 1 over 7 ¾f, 2.5 len behind Turn Me Royale with 132lbs at $1.65. Before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 9 at Rockhampton Bm60 on April 24 over 1m, slow going nose behind Bold Blaze carrying 136lbs at $2.45. Hard to beat this time.

1st Pick
6

Smart Mission

Jockey: Sean Cormack

Trainer: Clinton Taylor

J: Sean Cormack

T: Clinton Taylor

294---40%6/4

Analysis

Comes here off a 30-day let-up. At the latest run 5th of 9 at Mackay Cl3-Sw on May 1 over 7 ¾f, 2.5 len behind Turn Me Royale with 132lbs at $1.65. Before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 9 at Rockhampton Bm60 on April 24 over 1m, slow going nose behind Bold Blaze carrying 136lbs at $2.45. Hard to beat this time.

3
Ellis Beach silk

At the latest run 6th of 9 at this track Bm60 on May 8 over 7f, slow going 2.75 len behind Alabama Moonlight with 134lbs at $5.50. Before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.0 len at this track Bm60 April 14 over 1m defeating Central Park carrying 130lbs at $4.20. Finds a nice race this time and is right in contention.

2nd Pick
3

Ellis Beach

Jockey: Aidan Holt

Trainer: Georgina Holt

J: Aidan Holt

T: Georgina Holt

161---19%9/2

Analysis

At the latest run 6th of 9 at this track Bm60 on May 8 over 7f, slow going 2.75 len behind Alabama Moonlight with 134lbs at $5.50. Before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.0 len at this track Bm60 April 14 over 1m defeating Central Park carrying 130lbs at $4.20. Finds a nice race this time and is right in contention.

5
She's A Beauty silk

Half-sister to dual-Group 2 winner and multiple-Group 1 placed Barb Raider. Last start made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 at this track Cl2 on May 25 over 7f, head behind Kirikan with 125lbs at $7. The run before that 4th of 10 at Cairns Cl2-Sw on May 15 over 6 ¼f, in the wet, 1.75 len behind Mclovin with 128lbs at $5.50. Expected to feature.

3rd Pick
5

She's A Beauty

Jockey: Ryan Wiggins

Trainer: Steven Royes

J: Ryan Wiggins

T: Steven Royes

181---29%5/2

Analysis

Half-sister to dual-Group 2 winner and multiple-Group 1 placed Barb Raider. Last start made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 at this track Cl2 on May 25 over 7f, head behind Kirikan with 125lbs at $7. The run before that 4th of 10 at Cairns Cl2-Sw on May 15 over 6 ¼f, in the wet, 1.75 len behind Mclovin with 128lbs at $5.50. Expected to feature.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.