AU - Townsville - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Class 4

Turf

SOFT 7

14.1K

VIEW

Verdict

The penny has dropped for GARINION RIGH (10) who has put back-to-back wins together and is racing with a lot of confidence of late. Gets in well at the weights with the claim and should get a cosy run in transit from gate two. Plenty to like about her prospects. KEEP ON RUNNING (3) is a four-time winner here on his home circuit and is drawn to get all the favours from the inside marble. Sure to run well again. KICKAGOAL KENNY (5) is a consistent conveyance who has hit the top-five at his past eight outings. Can play a role in the outcome. CANDLELIT (4) doesn't win out of turn but is usually thereabouts and looks one for the exotics players. IT'S BEEN A TREK (9) next in line.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, won by 2 len at this track Cl1 December 13 over 1m defeating Valubious carrying 127lbs at $2. Before that favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 1.5 len at Cairns Mdn December 4 over 7f on a soft track defeating Valubious carrying 125lbs at $3.30. Racing well and looks a key chance. 1st Pick 10 Garinion Righ Jockey: Fiona Sandkuhl Trainer: Georgina Holt J: Fiona Sandkuhl T: Georgina Holt	152	-	-	-	48%	11/10
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, won by 2 len at this track Cl1 December 13 over 1m defeating Valubious carrying 127lbs at $2. Before that favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 1.5 len at Cairns Mdn December 4 over 7f on a soft track defeating Valubious carrying 125lbs at $3.30. Racing well and looks a key chance.
3	Last start favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.9 len at this track Cl4 December 13 over 6 ½f defeating Candlelit carrying 118lbs at $3.90. The run before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd in a small field at Ingham Bm50 on November 15 over 1m, head behind Brand New carrying 144lbs at $1.65. Facing a 12lbs hike in the weights from the last start but still makes plenty of appeal. 2nd Pick 3 Keep On Running Jockey: Ashvin Goindasamy Trainer: Terry Mcgovern J: Ashvin Goindasamy T: Terry Mcgovern	138	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Last start favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.9 len at this track Cl4 December 13 over 6 ½f defeating Candlelit carrying 118lbs at $3.90. The run before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd in a small field at Ingham Bm50 on November 15 over 1m, head behind Brand New carrying 144lbs at $1.65. Facing a 12lbs hike in the weights from the last start but still makes plenty of appeal.
5	Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 12 at Cairns Bm60 on December 20 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Singular carrying 132lbs at $5. Before that favourite, won by 0.8 len at Cairns Bm60 November 25 over 7f defeating Par Five with 128lbs at $3. An inside draw is a big advantage. Key runner in this line-up. 3rd Pick 5 Kickagoal Kenny Jockey: Georgina Cartwright Trainer: Trevor & Peter Rowe J: Georgina Cartwright T: Trevor & Peter Rowe	88	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 12 at Cairns Bm60 on December 20 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Singular carrying 132lbs at $5. Before that favourite, won by 0.8 len at Cairns Bm60 November 25 over 7f defeating Par Five with 128lbs at $3. An inside draw is a big advantage. Key runner in this line-up.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.