AU - Townsville - Race 4

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

14.8K

VIEW

Verdict

MOOLOOLABA (3) saves his best form for this track and trip where he has five wins and four placings from just 12 attempts. Is much better than the recent effort suggests and can bounce right back to form against this line-up. ELLIS BEACH (6) has gotten better with each run this time in and that culminated with a solid Cairns victory at the latest outing. Can go back-to-back. RELEASE LE MISSILE (2) is a two-time winner over this mile journey and gets some weight relief with the 4lbs claim. In the mix. CENTRAL PARK (1) just missed the placings here last time and the step-up in trip should suit. Solid top-three prospects. JOE'S GIGGLE (4) next best in a race with only a handful of chances.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Last start second last of 14 at this track Bm65 on March 31 over 7f, 7 len behind Rhegion with 127lbs at $19. Before that crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 5th of 11 at this track Bm65 on March 15 over 1m, on rain affected going, 1.5 len behind Prince Akeem with 131lbs at $3.20. Better than that last run suggests. 1st Pick 3 Mooloolaba Jockey: Ryan Wiggins Trainer: Georgina Holt J: Ryan Wiggins T: Georgina Holt	177	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Last start second last of 14 at this track Bm65 on March 31 over 7f, 7 len behind Rhegion with 127lbs at $19. Before that crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 5th of 11 at this track Bm65 on March 15 over 1m, on rain affected going, 1.5 len behind Prince Akeem with 131lbs at $3.20. Better than that last run suggests.
6	At the latest run ran on from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Cairns 0 - 55 March 26 over 6 ¼f in heavy going defeating Starmeira carrying 131lbs at $8.50. The start before that 4th of 9 at this track Cl1 on March 15 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Airwaves with 129lbs at $13. Big chance again. 2nd Pick 6 Ellis Beach Jockey: Aidan Holt Trainer: Georgina Holt J: Aidan Holt T: Georgina Holt	161	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis At the latest run ran on from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Cairns 0 - 55 March 26 over 6 ¼f in heavy going defeating Starmeira carrying 131lbs at $8.50. The start before that 4th of 9 at this track Cl1 on March 15 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Airwaves with 129lbs at $13. Big chance again.
2	Last start eased back early on 9th of 14 at this track Bm65 on March 31 over 7f, 6 len behind Rhegion with 137lbs at $26. The run before that 2nd in a small field at this track Bm60 on February 27 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Mooloolaba carrying 137lbs at $5.50. Goes well here and is sure to prove hard to beat. 3rd Pick 2 Release Le Missile Jockey: Fiona Sandkuhl Trainer: Darby Amos J: Fiona Sandkuhl T: Darby Amos	140	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Last start eased back early on 9th of 14 at this track Bm65 on March 31 over 7f, 6 len behind Rhegion with 137lbs at $26. The run before that 2nd in a small field at this track Bm60 on February 27 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Mooloolaba carrying 137lbs at $5.50. Goes well here and is sure to prove hard to beat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.