AU - Townsville - Race 4

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

17.6K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

The Holt yard have a grip on this race with four leading chances including two unbeaten youngsters. BETTER BLITZEM (1) is a speedy colt who won both starts in first campaign and returns from a break. Aided Holt stays aboard and the colt has posted the best figures of this field. With further upside should go close again. Stablemate GONE COUNTRY (3) has the fitness edge though and will be tough to beat. Has won both starts so far showing good pace and drops 9lbs for beating some of these last time. Low draw and will take catching. DUB STEPPING (2) returned from a break with leading rider Ryan Wiggins aboard and scored a strong win. Fitter again and will stalk the pace but does need to lift his figures to match the other pair. TAMBO'S SISTER (6) is another Holt runner who was heavily bet on debut when fourth behind the stablemate Gone Country. Was very green and is sure to have improved. The fourth stable runner SCARLENA (4) has placed 3/3 and will wind up late.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Looking to keep his unbeaten record intact. Closed last prep favourite, won by 1.5 len at Mackay 2yo Hcp November 21 over 5 ¼f defeating Wasabi Barbie carrying 130lbs at $1.18. Smart colt unbeaten so far and will go close fresh. 1st Pick 1 Better Blitzem Jockey: Aidan Holt Trainer: Georgina Holt J: Aidan Holt T: Georgina Holt	175	-	-	-	61%	4/6
Analysis Looking to keep his unbeaten record intact. Closed last prep favourite, won by 1.5 len at Mackay 2yo Hcp November 21 over 5 ¼f defeating Wasabi Barbie carrying 130lbs at $1.18. Smart colt unbeaten so far and will go close fresh.
3	Yet to taste defeat in two starts. When well in the market on debut, favourite, won by 3.5 len at this track 2yo Hcp January 16 over 5f in soft going defeating Scarlena with 130lbs at $2.60. Last start favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.1 len at this track 2yo Hcp February 3 over 5f in soft going defeating Scarlena carrying 130lbs at $2.20. Speedy filly unbeaten so far and will take catching again. 2nd Pick 3 Gone Country Jockey: Adam Sewell Trainer: Georgina Holt J: Adam Sewell T: Georgina Holt	248	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Yet to taste defeat in two starts. When well in the market on debut, favourite, won by 3.5 len at this track 2yo Hcp January 16 over 5f in soft going defeating Scarlena with 130lbs at $2.60. Last start favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.1 len at this track 2yo Hcp February 3 over 5f in soft going defeating Scarlena carrying 130lbs at $2.20. Speedy filly unbeaten so far and will take catching again.
2	Second-up. First start 9th of 12 at this track 2yo Mdn-Sw on October 25 over 5f, 14 len behind Better Blitzem carrying 126lbs at $11. Returned from break raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.5 len at Mackay 2yo Hcp February 13 over 5 ¼f defeating On Location carrying 126lbs at $4.40. Back in great order and can play a role in the finish. 3rd Pick 2 Dub Stepping Jockey: Ryan Wiggins Trainer: Tom Button J: Ryan Wiggins T: Tom Button	154	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Second-up. First start 9th of 12 at this track 2yo Mdn-Sw on October 25 over 5f, 14 len behind Better Blitzem carrying 126lbs at $11. Returned from break raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.5 len at Mackay 2yo Hcp February 13 over 5 ¼f defeating On Location carrying 126lbs at $4.40. Back in great order and can play a role in the finish.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.