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4:00 AM

AU - Townsville - Race 3

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
7f
Class 1
Turf
SOFT 7
14.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BETTER BREAKOUT (3) broke the maiden status here at the latest outing and will have taken a stack of confidence from that breakthrough victory. Winning hoop Holt sticks in the irons and can go back-to-back without surprising. MAYOR OF KINGSTON (5) is drawn to get all the favours from the inside alley and has hit the top-four at his past five starts. Has to be included. ALABAMA MOONLIGHT (1) is one from one over this seven-furlong trip and has been racing very consistently of late. Top-three credentials. STARMEIRA (8) loves this course and distance with a win and two placings from just four attempts. In the mix. CUP OF AMBITION (4) has saluted at her past two in lesser company and deserves her shot at this grade now. Hard to knock winning form.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Better Breakout silk

Third-up today. First-up 3rd of 8 at Mackay Mdn on November 11 over 5 ½f, 2 len behind Rum Runner carrying 130lbs at $3.30. Last start favourite, won by 1.5 len at this track Mdn December 13 over 6f defeating Smokin Reels with 131lbs at $2.70. Stick with him.

1st Pick
3

Better Breakout

Jockey: Aidan Holt

Trainer: Joanna Hassett

J: Aidan Holt

T: Joanna Hassett

151---43%11/8

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up 3rd of 8 at Mackay Mdn on November 11 over 5 ½f, 2 len behind Rum Runner carrying 130lbs at $3.30. Last start favourite, won by 1.5 len at this track Mdn December 13 over 6f defeating Smokin Reels with 131lbs at $2.70. Stick with him.

5
Mayor Of Kingston silk

Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at Mackay Cl3-Sw on December 6 over 7 ¾f, 1.4 len behind Southaven with 122lbs at $8.50. The run before that ran on from midfield and won by 0.7 len at Rockhampton Mdn November 27 over 7 ½f on a soft track defeating Atlantic Lace carrying 128lbs at $3.60. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.

2nd Pick
5

Mayor Of Kingston

Jockey: Adam Sewell

Trainer: Lachie Manzelmann

J: Adam Sewell

T: Lachie Manzelmann

149---19%9/2

Analysis

Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at Mackay Cl3-Sw on December 6 over 7 ¾f, 1.4 len behind Southaven with 122lbs at $8.50. The run before that ran on from midfield and won by 0.7 len at Rockhampton Mdn November 27 over 7 ½f on a soft track defeating Atlantic Lace carrying 128lbs at $3.60. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.

1
Alabama Moonlight silk

Most recently 2nd in a small field at Atherton Bm65 on December 13 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Yamabushi carrying 130lbs at $2. Before that 2nd of 9 at Cairns Cl1-Sw on December 4 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, head behind Looming One carrying 132lbs at $3.60. Winning chance.

3rd Pick
1

Alabama Moonlight

Jockey: Georgina Cartwright

Trainer: Trevor & Peter Rowe

J: Georgina Cartwright

T: Trevor & Peter Rowe

117---19%9/2

Analysis

Most recently 2nd in a small field at Atherton Bm65 on December 13 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Yamabushi carrying 130lbs at $2. Before that 2nd of 9 at Cairns Cl1-Sw on December 4 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, head behind Looming One carrying 132lbs at $3.60. Winning chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.