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3:40 AM

AU - Townsville - Race 3

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
8f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
15.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

OVERLAND (3) has the strongest winning case after consecutive seconds at this venue, beaten a nose two back and a long neck on soft ground last time when sent out favourite. He has been costly for punters, but his recent margins and Ryan Wiggins staying involved keep him on top. ROTH AUTHORITY (7) is the logical danger, having placed at his past two runs at this track and already shown he handles the 1m. He has finished behind Overland recently, yet his consistency gives him a breakthrough chance. BUSH ETIQUETTE (11) brings lighter-weight appeal and was not far away when fourth here last time out. In the mix. POWER CRUISE (13) has excuses last start after racing keenly and being steadied, and the weight relief gives him a chance to improve.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Overland silk

Went within a long neck of breaking through at this track on soft ground last start after settling just off the lead and being pipped late as favourite. That followed a nose defeat at this venue over 7f, so the current form is strong for a maiden of this depth. The mile record is not perfect, but his current form sets the standard.

1st Pick
3

Overland

Jockey: Ryan Wiggins

Trainer: Stephen Massingham

J: Ryan Wiggins

T: Stephen Massingham

135---29%5/2

Analysis

Went within a long neck of breaking through at this track on soft ground last start after settling just off the lead and being pipped late as favourite. That followed a nose defeat at this venue over 7f, so the current form is strong for a maiden of this depth. The mile record is not perfect, but his current form sets the standard.

7
Roth Authority silk

Continued his consistent campaign when third at this track last start, beaten just over two lengths by Sneaky Peaky after keeping on solidly. He was also third here two back, beaten a length by Okay Zoomer, and has placed at his only try around 1m. Overland is the line to turn around, but he is a major chance.

2nd Pick
7

Roth Authority

Jockey: Sean Cormack

Trainer: Alexander Malliff

J: Sean Cormack

T: Alexander Malliff

102---16%11/2

Analysis

Continued his consistent campaign when third at this track last start, beaten just over two lengths by Sneaky Peaky after keeping on solidly. He was also third here two back, beaten a length by Okay Zoomer, and has placed at his only try around 1m. Overland is the line to turn around, but he is a major chance.

11
Bush Etiquette silk

Has put together two sound fourths, most recently at this track when beaten two and a half lengths by Sneaky Peaky on soft ground. Before that he boxed on at Cairns over 7 ¼f after being unwanted in the market. Long maiden record is the knock, but he is a live chance.

3rd Pick
11

Bush Etiquette

Jockey: Masayuki Abe

Trainer: Maria Potiris

J: Masayuki Abe

T: Maria Potiris

112---6%16/1

Analysis

Has put together two sound fourths, most recently at this track when beaten two and a half lengths by Sneaky Peaky on soft ground. Before that he boxed on at Cairns over 7 ¼f after being unwanted in the market. Long maiden record is the knock, but he is a live chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.