AU - Townsville - Race 3

Thoroughbred

19 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

21.2K

VIEW

Verdict

CRYOSEISMS (7) has hit a purple patch of form this campaign only missing a drum once in six outings. Racing high on confidence of late and should be right there at the business end. NOLAN (2) has placed four of five over this track and trip and gets a bunch of weight off with the 7lbs claim. Right in contention on best figures. NORTHERNONTAP (12) saves his best form for this course and distance and will be cherry-ripe fit for this assignment. Top-three candidate. THEE CREEK (10) put in an improved performance placing at Rockhampton last time and rider Silvera Olivera sticks. In the mix. THE KAMIKAZE (4) best of the rest in an open affair.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Most recently 3rd in a small field at Rockhampton Bm65 on July 31 over 5 ¼f, 0.5 len behind Italian Dancer with 129lbs at $2.70. Before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 7 at Rockhampton Bm65 on July 9 over 5 ½f, nose behind King's Duty with 128lbs at $3.80. Winning chance after a narrow defeat last start. 1st Pick 7 Cryoseisms Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Ricky Vale J: Non Runner T: Ricky Vale	196	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis Most recently 3rd in a small field at Rockhampton Bm65 on July 31 over 5 ¼f, 0.5 len behind Italian Dancer with 129lbs at $2.70. Before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 7 at Rockhampton Bm65 on July 9 over 5 ½f, nose behind King's Duty with 128lbs at $3.80. Winning chance after a narrow defeat last start.
2	At the latest run ran second last of 8 at Hughenden Hcp on July 18 over 7f, 9 len behind Scorched Land with 129lbs at $5.50. The run before that 5th of 13 at this track Cl5 on July 5 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Cifonelli with 133lbs at $19. Better than that latest effort and can improve sharply. 2nd Pick 2 Nolan Jockey: Mitch Goring Trainer: Steven Royes J: Mitch Goring T: Steven Royes	124	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis At the latest run ran second last of 8 at Hughenden Hcp on July 18 over 7f, 9 len behind Scorched Land with 129lbs at $5.50. The run before that 5th of 13 at this track Cl5 on July 5 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Cifonelli with 133lbs at $19. Better than that latest effort and can improve sharply.
12	Most recently made ground from midfield, 3rd of 11 at this track Bm60 on July 14 over 5f, 1.0 len behind The Kamikaze with 134lbs at $9. The run before that 8th of 11 at this track Bm60 on June 28 over 5f, 4 len behind Gamadale Nip carrying 136lbs at $4.40. Made headway last time. Has the ability and is among the leading hopes. 3rd Pick 12 Northernontap Jockey: Chris Whiteley Trainer: Belynda Kliese J: Chris Whiteley T: Belynda Kliese	101	-	-	-	8%	13/1
Analysis Most recently made ground from midfield, 3rd of 11 at this track Bm60 on July 14 over 5f, 1.0 len behind The Kamikaze with 134lbs at $9. The run before that 8th of 11 at this track Bm60 on June 28 over 5f, 4 len behind Gamadale Nip carrying 136lbs at $4.40. Made headway last time. Has the ability and is among the leading hopes.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.