AU - Taree - Race 7

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

17.7K

VIEW

Verdict

Tough. MOSGIEL DAISY (3) was well in commission last time but ran below expectations, beaten 2 lengths over 1m at this track. Impressed winning this grade and distance at Kempsey prior and deserves another chance. GOLDEN HONOUR (2) comes out of the same race here and missed a whisker from the front. Dropping back 1f shouldn't bother, and fourth-up she's a chance to go one better. FOX REIGN (8) was well supported in that contest and was plain (slow to recover). The Kempsey near miss prior stacks up, and all must be in order. WILDERNESS STAR (12) has won here twice before and draws for a soft run so could play a role.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 9 at this track Ctry Bm58 on November 23 over 1m, slow going 2 len behind Charmed Destiny with 136lbs at $2.60. The race before that favourite, came home strongly from last on the turn and won by 0.5 len at Kempsey Ctry Bm58 November 7 over 7 ¼f defeating Fox Reign with 131lbs at $3.90. Rates highly. 1st Pick 3 Mosgiel Daisy Jockey: Mollie Fitzgerald Trainer: Matthew Robinson J: Mollie Fitzgerald T: Matthew Robinson	135	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 9 at this track Ctry Bm58 on November 23 over 1m, slow going 2 len behind Charmed Destiny with 136lbs at $2.60. The race before that favourite, came home strongly from last on the turn and won by 0.5 len at Kempsey Ctry Bm58 November 7 over 7 ¼f defeating Fox Reign with 131lbs at $3.90. Rates highly.
2	Recent form sound. Last start set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 9 at this track Ctry Bm58 on November 23 over 1m, slow going head behind Charmed Destiny with 136lbs at $3.60. The race before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 10 at Port Macquarie Bm66 on November 13 over 7 ½f, 4 len behind Naughty Nurse carrying 128lbs at $6. Close to a win. Has ability and is strong top-three hope. 2nd Pick 2 Golden Honour Jockey: Matthew Bennett Trainer: Glen Milligan J: Matthew Bennett T: Glen Milligan	138	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 9 at this track Ctry Bm58 on November 23 over 1m, slow going head behind Charmed Destiny with 136lbs at $3.60. The race before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 10 at Port Macquarie Bm66 on November 13 over 7 ½f, 4 len behind Naughty Nurse carrying 128lbs at $6. Close to a win. Has ability and is strong top-three hope.
8	Last start raced behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 9 at this track Ctry Bm58 on November 23 over 1m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Charmed Destiny with 130lbs at $3.70. Before that sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 11 at Kempsey Ctry Bm58 on November 7 over 7 ¼f, 0.5 len behind Mosgiel Daisy carrying 129lbs at $3.30. Worth another chance. 3rd Pick 8 Fox Reign Jockey: Luke Rolls Trainer: Jeremy Sylvester J: Luke Rolls T: Jeremy Sylvester	112	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Last start raced behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 9 at this track Ctry Bm58 on November 23 over 1m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Charmed Destiny with 130lbs at $3.70. Before that sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 11 at Kempsey Ctry Bm58 on November 7 over 7 ¼f, 0.5 len behind Mosgiel Daisy carrying 129lbs at $3.30. Worth another chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.