AU - Tamworth - Race 5

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Class 1

Turf

SOFT 5

18.8K

VIEW

Verdict

TACITLY (3) is a genuine type who comes back in trip and finds a winnable contest. Motored late from the outside gate when second over 1 ?m at Newcastle. Looks to get the ideal run and sure to be thereabouts. BRADFORD (1) slashing return for the new yard when he cleared out for a dominant Maiden win over 7f at this track. Should be even stronger over the mile and maps well. TASMAN DEEL (9) was narrowly beaten last time when well in commission over 1m at Taree, finishing just a head from the winner in second. Key runner. KENISIS (12) settled back last start then made a sustained run to finish third over 7f at this track. Will appreciate the extra ground this time and is worth consideration.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Most recently 2nd of 11 in a Cl1-Sw at Newcastle on September 18 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Think Itz You with 130lbs at $3.40. The start before that 8th of 10 in a Bm64 at Gosford on August 28 over 1 ¼m, slow going 16 len behind Longinus carrying 131lbs at $3.10. Has his hoof on the till and finds an easier race. 1st Pick 3 Tacitly Jockey: Braith Nock Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald J: Braith Nock T: Annabel & Rob Archibald	195	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Most recently 2nd of 11 in a Cl1-Sw at Newcastle on September 18 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Think Itz You with 130lbs at $3.40. The start before that 8th of 10 in a Bm64 at Gosford on August 28 over 1 ¼m, slow going 16 len behind Longinus carrying 131lbs at $3.10. Has his hoof on the till and finds an easier race.
4	Form hard to fault. Most recently ran on from midfield and won by 0.8 len in a Mdn at Goulburn on October 6 over 1m in soft going defeating Shocair carrying 122lbs at $81. The start before that 2nd of 7 in a Mdn-Sw at Bowraville on September 19 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Strenuous with 121lbs at $10. An inside draw is a big advantage. Heading the right way and looks one of the hardest to beat. 2nd Pick 4 Ronardo Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Jake Hull J: Non Runner T: Jake Hull	138	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently ran on from midfield and won by 0.8 len in a Mdn at Goulburn on October 6 over 1m in soft going defeating Shocair carrying 122lbs at $81. The start before that 2nd of 7 in a Mdn-Sw at Bowraville on September 19 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Strenuous with 121lbs at $10. An inside draw is a big advantage. Heading the right way and looks one of the hardest to beat.
1	Recent form sound. Most recently favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 3 len in a Mdn-Sw at this track on September 28 over 7f defeating Usain Boss with 130lbs at $1.24. The run before that raced on the pace when 2nd of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at Ballarat Synthetic on August 25 over 7 ½f, neck behind Lancetta carrying 131lbs at $7.50. Fitter now and sure to get all the favours from barrier four. 3rd Pick 1 Bradford Jockey: Aaron Bullock Trainer: Cody Morgan J: Aaron Bullock T: Cody Morgan	180	-	-	-	80%
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 3 len in a Mdn-Sw at this track on September 28 over 7f defeating Usain Boss with 130lbs at $1.24. The run before that raced on the pace when 2nd of 12 in a Mdn-Sw at Ballarat Synthetic on August 25 over 7 ½f, neck behind Lancetta carrying 131lbs at $7.50. Fitter now and sure to get all the favours from barrier four.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.