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6:30 AM

AU - Sunshine Coast - Race 7

Thoroughbred
17 Runners
7f
Benchmark
Synthetic
GOOD
19.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Open race to close out the card but it does start to thin out with the scratchings with several of the key players coming out and leaving the door ajar for CHANCE WITH WOLVES (3). He has put in a better showing at the past couple of starts and will be rock-hard fit for this. Gets 3lbs off with the claim and maps ideally from two. Lots lining up for him now and think he can kick that door wide open and step on through. BOLERO (7) is a stayer resuming who should be hitting the line with gusto. Think he can present the biggest danger. STATE A FACT (12) continues to front up and race consistently. Should get more of the same from him.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Chance With Wolves silk

At the latest run held ground to the line 3rd of 7 at Kilcoy Bm60 on February 18 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Go Maro with 122lbs at $3.50. The start before that 2nd of 9 at Doomben Bm65 on February 11 over 1 m, on a slow track, 2 len behind The Wheelbarrow with 117lbs at $61. Should enjoy a nice run from the inside gate and looks a strong hope.

1st Pick
3

Chance With Wolves

Jockey: Corey Sutherland

Trainer: Jan Aitkenhead

J: Corey Sutherland

T: Jan Aitkenhead

125---29%5/2

Analysis

At the latest run held ground to the line 3rd of 7 at Kilcoy Bm60 on February 18 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Go Maro with 122lbs at $3.50. The start before that 2nd of 9 at Doomben Bm65 on February 11 over 1 m, on a slow track, 2 len behind The Wheelbarrow with 117lbs at $61. Should enjoy a nice run from the inside gate and looks a strong hope.

1
Itza Motza silk

Returns from a 29-day let-up. At the latest run 6th of 9 at Toowoomba Cl2-Sw on February 7 over 6 ½f, 6 len behind Tokyo Bandit with 128lbs at $3.60. The run before that 3rd of 13 at Sunshine Coast Cl2 on February 1 over 6f, 1.1 len behind Capital Diva carrying 122lbs at $21. Can atone.

2nd Pick
1

Itza Motza

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Mark Currie

J: Non Runner

T: Mark Currie

146---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Returns from a 29-day let-up. At the latest run 6th of 9 at Toowoomba Cl2-Sw on February 7 over 6 ½f, 6 len behind Tokyo Bandit with 128lbs at $3.60. The run before that 3rd of 13 at Sunshine Coast Cl2 on February 1 over 6f, 1.1 len behind Capital Diva carrying 122lbs at $21. Can atone.

4
Kettlebell silk

At the latest run 7th of 14 at Gold Coast 0 - 58 on February 21 over 7f, 5 len behind Shirley Pearly with 126lbs at $13. The start before that got back early 9th of 15 at Sunshine Coast 0 - 58 on February 1 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Meltdown carrying 127lbs at $18. Can improve again. Well placed and gets her chance to show what she can do.

3rd Pick
4

Kettlebell

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Belinda Mair

J: Non Runner

T: Belinda Mair

109---1%

Scratched

Analysis

At the latest run 7th of 14 at Gold Coast 0 - 58 on February 21 over 7f, 5 len behind Shirley Pearly with 126lbs at $13. The start before that got back early 9th of 15 at Sunshine Coast 0 - 58 on February 1 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Meltdown carrying 127lbs at $18. Can improve again. Well placed and gets her chance to show what she can do.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.