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6:20 AM

AU - Sunshine Coast - Race 7

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
6f
Class 2
Turf
SOFT 7
19.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CARBONARA (6) may not win often, but he is a genuine performer who will close to her peak fitness third up from a spell. In a field of this nature, she deserves plenty of respect and should be fighting out the finish. KILONOVA (4) showed plenty of grit when scoring comfortably by nearly 2 lengths at this track last start, and looks well placed to continue on his winning way. NAVY NINA (8) returns from a 3 -and-a-half-month spell for a new trainer, and she has the ability to make her presence felt fresh, especially if the money comes for her. SILVER SMASH (11) cannot be dismissed and is worth considering in wider top 4 combos.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Carbonara silk

Third-up today. Resuming 4th in a small field at Ipswich 3&4yo Hcp on July 8 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Moshulu Spirit with 116lbs at $12. Second-up 4th of 12 at Doomben 3yo F Hcp on July 18 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Grinzinger Champ with 118lbs at $31. Rates highly. Fitter again and looks ready to break through.

1st Pick
6

Carbonara

Jockey: Leah Martyn

Trainer: Robert Heathcote

J: Leah Martyn

T: Robert Heathcote

100---20%4/1

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming 4th in a small field at Ipswich 3&4yo Hcp on July 8 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Moshulu Spirit with 116lbs at $12. Second-up 4th of 12 at Doomben 3yo F Hcp on July 18 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Grinzinger Champ with 118lbs at $31. Rates highly. Fitter again and looks ready to break through.

4
Kilonova silk

Most recently won by 1.75 len at this track Cl1 July 19 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Katie Aine with 127lbs at $7.50. The start before that 6th of 10 at this track Cl1 on June 21 over 5f, slow going 6 len behind Racketeer carrying 123lbs at $11. Back in form and can make it two on the bounce.

2nd Pick
4

Kilonova

Jockey: Michael Rodd

Trainer: Kristie Clark-Peoples

J: Michael Rodd

T: Kristie Clark-Peoples

155---20%4/1

Analysis

Most recently won by 1.75 len at this track Cl1 July 19 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Katie Aine with 127lbs at $7.50. The start before that 6th of 10 at this track Cl1 on June 21 over 5f, slow going 6 len behind Racketeer carrying 123lbs at $11. Back in form and can make it two on the bounce.

8
Navy Nina silk

Mare back from a spell of three-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign fifth of 8 at Doomben F&M Cl1 April 22 over 6 ¾f, 3 len behind Sheraquay carrying 132lbs at $2.60. First up last campaign ran last of 9 at Geelong Cl1 January 20 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Ultra Blue carrying 126lbs at $8. Looks all set for a effective return.

3rd Pick
8

Navy Nina

Jockey: Ben Thompson

Trainer: Todd Pollard

J: Ben Thompson

T: Todd Pollard

135---23%7/2

Analysis

Mare back from a spell of three-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign fifth of 8 at Doomben F&M Cl1 April 22 over 6 ¾f, 3 len behind Sheraquay carrying 132lbs at $2.60. First up last campaign ran last of 9 at Geelong Cl1 January 20 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Ultra Blue carrying 126lbs at $8. Looks all set for a effective return.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.