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5:51 AM

AU - Sunshine Coast - Race 5

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
8f
Class 3
Turf
SOFT 5
25.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

NAILS MURPHY (4) is on the doorstep of another victory placing in four of his past five starts and this is not an overly strong affair. Gets a stack of weight relief with the 7lbs claim and should be right there when the judge calls a halt. TANGO QUEEN (10) brings NSW formlines to the table but should be high on confidence following that last-start Newcastle win. Will give backers a sight. MORE TROUBLE (3) has won over this course and distance and strips fitter third-up from the spell. In the mix. TRAPEDO (11) will find this easier than recent Saturday efforts and may earn some minor money. ZOU BIG BOY (6) gets the reliable Gollan/Maloney combination and cannot be underestimated.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Nails Murphy silk

Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Eagle Farm Bm85 on December 20 over 1m, nose behind Pasima with 119lbs at $2.80. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 11 at Doomben Bm85 on December 6 over 1m, 0.6 len behind Yet He Moves carrying 121lbs at $11. Will take plenty of beating.

1st Pick
4

Nails Murphy

Jockey: Jai Williams

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Jai Williams

T: Ciaron Maher

218---48%11/10

Analysis

Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Eagle Farm Bm85 on December 20 over 1m, nose behind Pasima with 119lbs at $2.80. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 11 at Doomben Bm85 on December 6 over 1m, 0.6 len behind Yet He Moves carrying 121lbs at $11. Will take plenty of beating.

10
Tango Queen silk

Last start won by a head at Newcastle Cl1 November 30 over 7 ½f defeating Tequisoda with 118lbs at $7. The run before that 5th of 7 at Wyong F&M Cl1 on November 16 over 6 ¾f, 2.25 len behind Tulipwood with 126lbs at $6.50. One of the chief contenders.

2nd Pick
10

Tango Queen

Jockey: Angela Jones

Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald

J: Angela Jones

T: Annabel & Rob Archibald

87---10%10/1

Analysis

Last start won by a head at Newcastle Cl1 November 30 over 7 ½f defeating Tequisoda with 118lbs at $7. The run before that 5th of 7 at Wyong F&M Cl1 on November 16 over 6 ¾f, 2.25 len behind Tulipwood with 126lbs at $6.50. One of the chief contenders.

3
More Trouble silk

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 4th of 10 at Doomben Cg&E Bm70 on November 29 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Ser Joh with 130lbs at $41. Second run from a spell sat on the pace when 3rd of 8 at Doomben Cl5 on December 12 over 6 ¾f, slow going 2.5 len behind Voracious with 121lbs at $8.50. Big chance.

3rd Pick
3

More Trouble

Jockey: Damien Thornton

Trainer: Jack Bruce

J: Damien Thornton

T: Jack Bruce

133---20%4/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 4th of 10 at Doomben Cg&E Bm70 on November 29 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Ser Joh with 130lbs at $41. Second run from a spell sat on the pace when 3rd of 8 at Doomben Cl5 on December 12 over 6 ¾f, slow going 2.5 len behind Voracious with 121lbs at $8.50. Big chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.