AU - Sunshine Coast - Race 4

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

21.2K

VIEW

Verdict

Former Victorian FIFTY CALIBRE (13) just missed the frame in town when having the first start for the new stable and will have come on with that run now under the belt. Should find this easier than what he faced down south and must be respected out of the Bruce barn. Rates the testing material. RUSTY TYCOON (5) has hit the top-five in all five starts to date and will be ready to peak now third run back from a spell. Sure to prove hard to toss. AMELIORATION (6) maps nicely for this from gate two and will be rock-hard fit for this. In the mix. FABS CUZ (1) hit the frame at Ipswich last time out and gets some weight relief with the claim. Keep safe. DREAM THINKER (11) gets the reliable Gollan/Jones combination and shouldn't be discounted lightly.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
13	Second-up. First-up after five months ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 12 at Eagle Farm Mdn on February 4 over 7f, 2 len behind Hermione Prancer carrying 128lbs at $12. Previously second-up ran last of 12 at Bendigo 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 14 over 1m, on a slow track, 14 len behind Vellasmachine with 128lbs at $7.50. Fitter and rates highly. 1st Pick 13 Fifty Calibre Jockey: Jag Guthmann-Chester Trainer: Jack Bruce J: Jag Guthmann-Chester T: Jack Bruce	132	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 12 at Eagle Farm Mdn on February 4 over 7f, 2 len behind Hermione Prancer carrying 128lbs at $12. Previously second-up ran last of 12 at Bendigo 3yo Mdn-Sw on June 14 over 1m, on a slow track, 14 len behind Vellasmachine with 128lbs at $7.50. Fitter and rates highly.
5	Third-up today. First-up 5th of 10 at this track 3yo Mdn on January 11 over 7f, 3 len behind Ozzie Invader with 131lbs at $6.50. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at Doomben 3yo Mdn on February 11 over 1 m, slow going 2 len behind Battuta carrying 131lbs at $6. Capable of fighting out the finish again. 2nd Pick 5 Rusty Tycoon Jockey: Damien Thornton Trainer: Robert Heathcote J: Damien Thornton T: Robert Heathcote	153	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 5th of 10 at this track 3yo Mdn on January 11 over 7f, 3 len behind Ozzie Invader with 131lbs at $6.50. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at Doomben 3yo Mdn on February 11 over 1 m, slow going 2 len behind Battuta carrying 131lbs at $6. Capable of fighting out the finish again.
6	Last start got back early 7th of 12 at Eagle Farm Mdn on February 4 over 7f, 5 len behind Hermione Prancer carrying 125lbs at $26. The run before that 2nd in a small field at this track Mdn on December 20 over 1m, 1.2 len behind Key Component with 128lbs at $1.85. Rates highly and can improve sharply. 3rd Pick 6 Amelioration Jockey: Daniel Moor Trainer: Ben Lang J: Daniel Moor T: Ben Lang	98	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Last start got back early 7th of 12 at Eagle Farm Mdn on February 4 over 7f, 5 len behind Hermione Prancer carrying 125lbs at $26. The run before that 2nd in a small field at this track Mdn on December 20 over 1m, 1.2 len behind Key Component with 128lbs at $1.85. Rates highly and can improve sharply.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.