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4:50 AM

AU - Sunshine Coast - Race 4

Thoroughbred
17 Runners
11.1f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
19.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BENZINO (2) was a dominant winner in town two back before just finding one better at Ipswich last time out. Gets 4lbs off with the claim and maps ideally for this from the low draw. Sure to make his presence felt against this line-up. MAKAMAE (10) goes well for hoop Sutherland who has two wins and four placings from nine steers. Is a two-time winner around this circuit and has to be included in calculations. TRUMP CARD (1) was a touch disappointing at the latest effort but the form prior was full of merit. Can bounce right back without surprising. PENDING LIST (11) has been right there at the past four outings and only needs some luck from the sticky draw to be featuring in the finish. OLD FAITHFUL (9) is a last-start winner who shouldn't be slept on.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Benzino silk

Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Ipswich Cl1-Sw on July 3 over 1 5/16m, 1.75 len behind Firm Agreement carrying 128lbs at $3.80. The run before that won by 6 len at Doomben Mdn-Sw June 24 over 1 ¼m on a rain affected track defeating Secret Fenkel carrying 129lbs at $3.10. Well placed. Will take plenty of beating.

1st Pick
2

Benzino

Jockey: Rob Thorburn

Trainer: Gary Duncan

J: Rob Thorburn

T: Gary Duncan

121---23%7/2

Analysis

Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Ipswich Cl1-Sw on July 3 over 1 5/16m, 1.75 len behind Firm Agreement carrying 128lbs at $3.80. The run before that won by 6 len at Doomben Mdn-Sw June 24 over 1 ¼m on a rain affected track defeating Secret Fenkel carrying 129lbs at $3.10. Well placed. Will take plenty of beating.

10
Makamae silk

Most recently 3rd of 11 at this track Bm58 on July 12 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind And I Am with 127lbs at $5.50. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.5 len at this track Bm60 June 14 over 1m in the wet defeating Cansort with 121lbs at $6.50. Well placed and is a leading player.

2nd Pick
10

Makamae

Jockey: Corey Sutherland

Trainer: Stephen Sutherland

J: Corey Sutherland

T: Stephen Sutherland

104---17%5/1

Analysis

Most recently 3rd of 11 at this track Bm58 on July 12 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind And I Am with 127lbs at $5.50. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.5 len at this track Bm60 June 14 over 1m in the wet defeating Cansort with 121lbs at $6.50. Well placed and is a leading player.

1
Trump Card silk

Comes off a 29 day let-up. Most recently got back early 12th of 15 at Ipswich Bm78 on June 20 over 1/16m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Pulveriser carrying 118lbs at $13. The race before that raced on the pace when 2nd of 11 at Ipswich Bm68 on May 30 over 1m, on heavy track, 4.5 len behind Pulveriser carrying 128lbs at $3.60. Expected to play a significant role.

3rd Pick
1

Trump Card

Jockey: Paul Hamblin

Trainer: David Vandyke

J: Paul Hamblin

T: David Vandyke

107---11%17/2

Analysis

Comes off a 29 day let-up. Most recently got back early 12th of 15 at Ipswich Bm78 on June 20 over 1/16m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Pulveriser carrying 118lbs at $13. The race before that raced on the pace when 2nd of 11 at Ipswich Bm68 on May 30 over 1m, on heavy track, 4.5 len behind Pulveriser carrying 128lbs at $3.60. Expected to play a significant role.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

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Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.