AU - Sunshine Coast - Race 1

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

18.1K

VIEW

Verdict

TAKE ACHANCE ON ME (3) finally shed the maiden tag around this circuit last time out and will have derived a stack of confidence from that breakthrough victory. Winning hoop Wilson-Taylor stays on board and can make her presence felt again. TSUKINO (4) has a handy record over this seven-furlong journey with two wins and a second from just four attempts. Looms as the main danger. STRIKE THE HEART (5) gets the deadly Vandyke/Maloney combination and can improve sharply on recent efforts. Keep very safe. MANHATTAN'S (2) boasts a win over this track and trip and will be rock-hard fit for this. Include in calculations. ECHO HUNTER (7) next in line with the 4lbs claim.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	At the latest run favourite, won by a head at this track F&M Mdn October 24 over 6f defeating Mississippi Dream carrying 131lbs at $2.50. The race before that 3rd of 9 at Gold Coast 4yo+ Mdn on October 11 over 5f, slow going 3 len behind Enhance with 126lbs at $4.40. Draws well and another big run is in store. 1st Pick 3 Take Achance On Me Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Chris Waller J: Non Runner T: Chris Waller	141	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis At the latest run favourite, won by a head at this track F&M Mdn October 24 over 6f defeating Mississippi Dream carrying 131lbs at $2.50. The race before that 3rd of 9 at Gold Coast 4yo+ Mdn on October 11 over 5f, slow going 3 len behind Enhance with 126lbs at $4.40. Draws well and another big run is in store.
4	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at Toowoomba F&M Cl3 on October 6 over 6f, 4 len behind Tigon Princess carrying 121lbs at $12. Second run from a spell came from midfield and won by 0.5 len at Ipswich F&M 0 - 58 October 27 over 6 ¾f on a soft track defeating La Pittrice carrying 128lbs at $6. Expected to go well. 2nd Pick 4 Tsukino Jockey: Dylan Turner Trainer: John Dann J: Dylan Turner T: John Dann	178	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at Toowoomba F&M Cl3 on October 6 over 6f, 4 len behind Tigon Princess carrying 121lbs at $12. Second run from a spell came from midfield and won by 0.5 len at Ipswich F&M 0 - 58 October 27 over 6 ¾f on a soft track defeating La Pittrice carrying 128lbs at $6. Expected to go well.
5	Third-up today. Resuming 4th of 9 at this track Cl1 on September 21 over 6 ½f, 1.0 len behind Inca Trail carrying 122lbs at $7. Second run from a spell raced on the pace before fading 10th of 14 at this track Bm62 on October 10 over 7f, 6 len behind Smart Shazza with 123lbs at $5.50. Can improve. Has ability and can bounce back. 3rd Pick 5 Strike The Heart Jockey: Ryan Maloney Trainer: David Vandyke J: Ryan Maloney T: David Vandyke	182	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 4th of 9 at this track Cl1 on September 21 over 6 ½f, 1.0 len behind Inca Trail carrying 122lbs at $7. Second run from a spell raced on the pace before fading 10th of 14 at this track Bm62 on October 10 over 7f, 6 len behind Smart Shazza with 123lbs at $5.50. Can improve. Has ability and can bounce back.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.