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6:29 AM

AU - Scone - Race 7

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
20.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

THE AUTUMN WIND (8) made a big impression on debut when winning a Maiden at this track and distance on soft ground as an odds-on favourite after travelling well and lengthening strongly. He now has to take that into BM58 company, but the profile is progressive and the same track-and-trip setup gives him the clearest winning case. KERMITISAPET (4) brings sharper race fitness after sweeping home to win a Class 1 at the Beaumont by just over three lengths, with her wet-track record and proven 6f form adding substance. Leading contender. OVERZONE (2) resumes off a six-month break with a Muswellbrook trial behind him. Consistent gelding likely to go back from the draw and be ridden for luck. THE DUX NUTS (15) is third-up, well drawn and has the 6f record to be dangerous, especially if he builds on the close Class 1 fifth at Tamworth two runs back. Leading player.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
The Autumn Wind silk

Made an excellent debut at this track and distance, winning a Mdn by just over a length on soft ground as the odds-on favourite. He settled just off the lead, travelled well and lengthened strongly to beat Oakfield Virginia, suggesting there is natural improvement to come second-up. More depth now, but the profile is progressive and he looks the one to beat.

1st Pick
8

The Autumn Wind

Jockey: Mikayla Weir

Trainer: Scott Singleton

J: Mikayla Weir

T: Scott Singleton

184---75%1/3

Analysis

Made an excellent debut at this track and distance, winning a Mdn by just over a length on soft ground as the odds-on favourite. He settled just off the lead, travelled well and lengthened strongly to beat Oakfield Virginia, suggesting there is natural improvement to come second-up. More depth now, but the profile is progressive and he looks the one to beat.

4
Kermitisapet silk

Produced a strong last-start win in a Class 1 at the Beaumont, beginning slowly before sprinting clear to beat Albert's Pick by just over three lengths on soft ground. That followed a closing fifth over 5f at Muswellbrook, so she has worked into the campaign nicely. With the winning rider back, she is a genuine danger again.

2nd Pick
4

Kermitisapet

Jockey: Mitchell Bell

Trainer: Tim Mcintosh

J: Mitchell Bell

T: Tim Mcintosh

112---13%7/1

Analysis

Produced a strong last-start win in a Class 1 at the Beaumont, beginning slowly before sprinting clear to beat Albert's Pick by just over three lengths on soft ground. That followed a closing fifth over 5f at Muswellbrook, so she has worked into the campaign nicely. With the winning rider back, she is a genuine danger again.

2
Overzone silk

Returns from a six-month break after building a tidy four-start record last campaign, with one win and two placings. His latest fourth in a Class 1 at this track had some merit after a bump near the 1 ½f, and the run prior he was sent out favourite before charging into second at Tamworth. Back with the one trial and Class 1 form last campaign reads well for this.

3rd Pick
2

Overzone

Jockey: Andrew Gibbons

Trainer: Wayne Wilkes

J: Andrew Gibbons

T: Wayne Wilkes

64---13%7/1

Analysis

Returns from a six-month break after building a tidy four-start record last campaign, with one win and two placings. His latest fourth in a Class 1 at this track had some merit after a bump near the 1 ½f, and the run prior he was sent out favourite before charging into second at Tamworth. Back with the one trial and Class 1 form last campaign reads well for this.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).