AU - Scone - Race 5

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Class 1

Turf

GOOD 4

19.6K

VIEW

Verdict

TRUCE (6) was a notable drifter but got the job done in a workmanlike manner on debut over this course and distance a fortnight ago. Trained here and should make plenty of progress with that run under the belt. Big chance to go back-to-back. ATHENA'S TREASURE (5) is back after a ten-month spell. Lightly raced mare who went okay on debut over this distance before winning when stretched to six furlongs. Won a recent trial at this track and looks ready for a positive return. LILY BOBTAIL (7) mustered after a slow start then battled on well for third at her latest appearance over 4 ½f at this circuit. Fitter for two runs back from a spell and her stats here and at 5f are solid. New Stirling Osland acquisition LA NARRADORA (4) returns from a four-month break. Speedy mare who hasn't been seen at the trials since the switch. Betting watch recommended. GREAT COSMIC (2) is back for a second campaign. Big winner on debut over this distance at Tamworth so he must be considered.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Was well in the market at debut, won raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.7 len at this track Ctry Mdn November 18 over 5f defeating Bellerata with 126lbs at $4.40. Likely to be popular with punters and looks very tough to beat again. 1st Pick 6 Truce Jockey: Reece Jones Trainer: Scott Singleton J: Reece Jones T: Scott Singleton	187	-	-	-	45%	5/4
Analysis Was well in the market at debut, won raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.7 len at this track Ctry Mdn November 18 over 5f defeating Bellerata with 126lbs at $4.40. Likely to be popular with punters and looks very tough to beat again.
5	Resuming after a ten months break. Finished off last campaign seventh of 9 at Beaumont (Newcastle) Ctry Cl1 February 10 over 6f, soft track, 4.5 len behind Withstand with 122lbs at $2.60. On debut fifth of 11 at Taree Ctry Mdn December 22 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Pal's Reign carrying 122lbs at $12. Progressive mare who should play a big role. 2nd Pick 5 Athena's Treasure Jockey: Ben Looker Trainer: Todd Howlett J: Ben Looker T: Todd Howlett	62	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Resuming after a ten months break. Finished off last campaign seventh of 9 at Beaumont (Newcastle) Ctry Cl1 February 10 over 6f, soft track, 4.5 len behind Withstand with 122lbs at $2.60. On debut fifth of 11 at Taree Ctry Mdn December 22 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Pal's Reign carrying 122lbs at $12. Progressive mare who should play a big role.
7	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 2nd of 8 at Taree Cl1 on November 4 over 5f, on a slow track, nose behind Gold Melody carrying 126lbs at $4.20. Second-up 3rd of 8 at this track Cl1 on November 18 over 4 ½f, 3.5 len behind Shenandoah River with 122lbs at $18. Peaking now and is worth plenty of thought. 3rd Pick 7 Lily Bobtail Jockey: Shae Wilkes Trainer: Luke A Thomas J: Shae Wilkes T: Luke A Thomas	102	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 2nd of 8 at Taree Cl1 on November 4 over 5f, on a slow track, nose behind Gold Melody carrying 126lbs at $4.20. Second-up 3rd of 8 at this track Cl1 on November 18 over 4 ½f, 3.5 len behind Shenandoah River with 122lbs at $18. Peaking now and is worth plenty of thought.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.