AU - Scone - Race 3

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

8.4f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

18.6K

VIEW

Verdict

OCEAN TSUNAMI (3) sets the standard after winning by a nose in Class 3 at Randwick, and she now comes back from Saturday company with a strong profile at this track and distance. Her Rosehill fifth before that had enough interference to be more valuable than the margin suggests, so she looks the horse to beat third-up. GRANDINI (6) has not threatened in two runs this campaign, but both were stronger assignments, including a BM82 fifth at this venue, and her distance record plus the 7lbs claim keep her right in the contest. ALABAMA BLITZ (7) has to rebound from a last at Newcastle, yet her prior second at this track showed she can be competitive when ridden more patiently. Winkers first time can do the trick. DISCO PRINCE (4) was at big odds when second in BM66 grade and has a sound each-way profile if he repeats that effort. Ready for this trip.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Took the next step when winning a Class 3 at Randwick by a nose, doing it despite being bumped early and unbalanced near the 1 ¾f. That followed a Rosehill fifth as favourite where she over-raced and struck interference, so there was more merit in that run than the result shows. Strong profile and the one to beat in this vein of form. 1st Pick 3 Ocean Tsunami Jockey: Jasmine Urquhart-Warren Trainer: Scott Singleton J: Jasmine Urquhart-Warren T: Scott Singleton	262	-	-	-	90%
Analysis Took the next step when winning a Class 3 at Randwick by a nose, doing it despite being bumped early and unbalanced near the 1 ¾f. That followed a Rosehill fifth as favourite where she over-raced and struck interference, so there was more merit in that run than the result shows. Strong profile and the one to beat in this vein of form.
6	Drops back from a BM82 at this venue after finishing fifth, beaten five lengths, when she worked home fairly without threatening. Her Muswellbrook sixth in Open grade two back was better than the market expected, beaten a length and a half after beginning slowly. Third-up mare with solid 1 ¹/16m figures and a strong winning case. 2nd Pick 6 Grandini Jockey: Anna Weatherlake Trainer: Rodney Northam J: Anna Weatherlake T: Rodney Northam	105	-	-	-	5%
Analysis Drops back from a BM82 at this venue after finishing fifth, beaten five lengths, when she worked home fairly without threatening. Her Muswellbrook sixth in Open grade two back was better than the market expected, beaten a length and a half after beginning slowly. Third-up mare with solid 1 ¹/16m figures and a strong winning case.
7	Gets an easier meeting than the Newcastle provincial assignment, but the last-start BM68 run was disappointing, finishing last and beaten over 12 lengths after being near the top of betting. Her prior second at this track was far more encouraging, coming from well back to be beaten two and a half lengths. Winkers go on and she gets a much better setup. 3rd Pick 7 Alabama Blitz Jockey: Alysha Collett Trainer: Cameron Crockett J: Alysha Collett T: Cameron Crockett	155	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Gets an easier meeting than the Newcastle provincial assignment, but the last-start BM68 run was disappointing, finishing last and beaten over 12 lengths after being near the top of betting. Her prior second at this track was far more encouraging, coming from well back to be beaten two and a half lengths. Winkers go on and she gets a much better setup.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.