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3:25 AM

AU - Scone - Race 3

Thoroughbred
17 Runners
5.5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
20.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ARE YOU KIDDING (3) firmed to start at $2.70 but found the winner a shade too good on debut last start over 5f at Muswellbrook. Has a terrible gate to contend with but if things go right he looks a great chance to open the account. ZO FRILLING (8) is the danger first-up from a 21-week spell. Raced well last prep but it should be noted at was all on soft or heavy tracks. Recent Tamworth trial winner who is a serious threat if she can bring the wet track form to a firmer surface. SILENT SERENADE (12) made it four minor placings from as many career runs when she found the line well but still finished 2.5 lengths behind Are You Kidding at Muswellbrook recently. Draws a far better gate today and can close that gap. HE'STHECHIEF (1) returns after a 195-day spell. Yet to be tried on a dry surface but his form with the sting out of the ground reads well. Keep him in mind. SCATPAK (2) hasn't been far away in his two runs this time in work and a slightly longer trip today helps.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Are You Kidding silk

Was well-supported at debut, made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Muswellbrook Mdn-Sw on January 13 over 5f, slow going 0.9 len behind Difensivo carrying 128lbs at $2.70. Just needs luck from the wide gate to be going one better.

1st Pick
3

Are You Kidding

Jockey: Aaron Bullock

Trainer: Paul Messara & Leah Gavranich

J: Aaron Bullock

T: Paul Messara & Leah Gavranich

208---48%11/10

Analysis

Was well-supported at debut, made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Muswellbrook Mdn-Sw on January 13 over 5f, slow going 0.9 len behind Difensivo carrying 128lbs at $2.70. Just needs luck from the wide gate to be going one better.

8
Zo Frilling silk

Is first-up after a break of five months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation fourth of 9 at Canberra Mdn-Sw September 5 over 7f, soft track, 2 len behind Yes I Win with 126lbs at $2.50. Previously first up, second of 9 at Port Macquarie Mdn March 11 over 5f, soft track, 0.6 len behind Don't Tell Jack with 125lbs at $21. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Everything points to an effective return.

2nd Pick
8

Zo Frilling

Jockey: Ashley Morgan

Trainer: Nikki Pollock

J: Ashley Morgan

T: Nikki Pollock

83---6%16/1

Analysis

Is first-up after a break of five months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation fourth of 9 at Canberra Mdn-Sw September 5 over 7f, soft track, 2 len behind Yes I Win with 126lbs at $2.50. Previously first up, second of 9 at Port Macquarie Mdn March 11 over 5f, soft track, 0.6 len behind Don't Tell Jack with 125lbs at $21. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Everything points to an effective return.

12
Silent Serenade silk

Third-up today. First-up 3rd of 8 at Tamworth Mdn on December 22 over 5f, 1.1 len behind Oakfield Utah carrying 126lbs at $7. Last start 3rd of 9 at Muswellbrook Mdn-Sw on January 13 over 5f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Difensivo carrying 122lbs at $9. Big chance to break through.

3rd Pick
12

Silent Serenade

Jockey: Reece Jones

Trainer: Tim Mcintosh

J: Reece Jones

T: Tim Mcintosh

136---10%10/1

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up 3rd of 8 at Tamworth Mdn on December 22 over 5f, 1.1 len behind Oakfield Utah carrying 126lbs at $7. Last start 3rd of 9 at Muswellbrook Mdn-Sw on January 13 over 5f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Difensivo carrying 122lbs at $9. Big chance to break through.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

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A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.