AU - Rosehill - Race 6

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

7.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

42.4K

VIEW

Verdict

FEARN TRICK (11) with a pull in the weights gets the nod. Scored first-up at Scone then raced on the pace throughout and wouldn't lie down over 7 ¾f at Canterbury last time, eventually beaten under a length. Will go around at generous odds and is worth a throw at the stumps. LITTLE IRIS (6) tried hard but couldn't quite match a smart one in Decorum over 7f at Warwick Farm three weeks ago. Bred to want a bit more ground and at just her third race start appeals as a filly with tremendous upside. SOVERATO (7) came with a well-timed run to easily get the cash first-up over 7 ¾f at Canterbury recently. Like McDonald getting on - big chance to go back-to-back. SAMARELLE (3) was a shade disappointing first-up at Warwick Farm but the SP that day tells us she has more to offer. AISLE TWO (4) is flying this prep and cannot be left out of calculations.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
11	Third-up today. Resuming tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.7 len at Scone Mdn January 29 over 7f defeating Canadian Fling carrying 125lbs at $3.20. Second-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at Canterbury F&M Bm72 on February 13 over 7 ¾f, 0.9 len behind Emballee with 119lbs at $13. Racing well. Has ability and is still improving at just the third run of the campaign. 1st Pick 11 Fearn Trick Jockey: Rachel King Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Rachel King T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	122	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.7 len at Scone Mdn January 29 over 7f defeating Canadian Fling carrying 125lbs at $3.20. Second-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at Canterbury F&M Bm72 on February 13 over 7 ¾f, 0.9 len behind Emballee with 119lbs at $13. Racing well. Has ability and is still improving at just the third run of the campaign.
6	Had two starts to date. When well in the market at debut, won by 0.6 len at Canterbury 2&3yo F Mdn January 16 over 6 ¼f on a rain affected track defeating Ready Forcocktails carrying 130lbs at $2.70. Second-up 2nd in a small field at Warwick Farm 3yo Bm68 on February 4 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Decorum carrying 126lbs at $3.30. Progressive filly who is capable of fighting out the finish again. 2nd Pick 6 Little Iris Jockey: Tim Clark Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Tim Clark T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	152	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Had two starts to date. When well in the market at debut, won by 0.6 len at Canterbury 2&3yo F Mdn January 16 over 6 ¼f on a rain affected track defeating Ready Forcocktails carrying 130lbs at $2.70. Second-up 2nd in a small field at Warwick Farm 3yo Bm68 on February 4 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Decorum carrying 126lbs at $3.30. Progressive filly who is capable of fighting out the finish again.
7	Second run back. First-up after three months raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.2 len at Canterbury Bm64 February 13 over 7 ¾f defeating Throttle Response carrying 118lbs at $3.10. Previously second-up won by a nose at Kembla Grange Super Mdn November 15 over 7 ½f defeating Lady Yarrow with 122lbs at $1.55. Hard to tip against her on that sort of form. Strong through the line that evening and should kick in second-up. 3rd Pick 7 Soverato Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: Chris Waller J: James Mcdonald T: Chris Waller	154	-	-	-	40%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after three months raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.2 len at Canterbury Bm64 February 13 over 7 ¾f defeating Throttle Response carrying 118lbs at $3.10. Previously second-up won by a nose at Kembla Grange Super Mdn November 15 over 7 ½f defeating Lady Yarrow with 122lbs at $1.55. Hard to tip against her on that sort of form. Strong through the line that evening and should kick in second-up.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

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An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.