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3:55 AM

AU - Rosehill - Race 5

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
5.5f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
104.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LYLES (3) starting to live up to the big boom placed on him. Has monstered his rivals in two runs back, including a slick victory in fast time over 5f at Eagle Farm. Likely to take control early and will prove hard to get past. SNACK BAR (7) consistent sprinter who resumes for the Bjorn Baker yard. Fitted with the two trials and can tag the fast tempo and play a leading role. KING'S SECRET (1) exciting gelding resuming. Should have little trouble in this company and comes to hand quickly. Has the two trials under his belt and saves his best for this track and trip. BREMEL (11) speedy mare who faces a few hurdles today up in class and trip. Tom Sherry retains the ride and has the speed to hold a forward position from the awkward gate. Place best. APEX (5) scored a strong win on resumption and not to be overlooked.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Lyles silk

Dual acceptor. Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.9 len at Warwick Farm Bm72 October 22 over 5f defeating Crepe Myrtle carrying 126lbs at $2.25. Second run from a spell favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2.25 len at Eagle Farm Bm78 November 8 over 5f defeating Bossed Up carrying 123lbs at $2.30. Demolished a decent field last start and can win again.

1st Pick
3

Lyles

Jockey: Zac Lloyd

Trainer: Matthew Smith

J: Zac Lloyd

T: Matthew Smith

153---50%1/1

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.9 len at Warwick Farm Bm72 October 22 over 5f defeating Crepe Myrtle carrying 126lbs at $2.25. Second run from a spell favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2.25 len at Eagle Farm Bm78 November 8 over 5f defeating Bossed Up carrying 123lbs at $2.30. Demolished a decent field last start and can win again.

7
Snack Bar silk

Is first-up after a break of five months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign third of 11 at this track Bm78 June 28 over 6f, 0.6 len behind Lady Extreme with 125lbs at $3.60. First up last campaign third of 8 at Warwick Farm Bm78 April 16 over 5 ½f, 0.7 len behind One Destiny carrying 128lbs at $2.35. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Sharp sprinter who can resume in good order for the new stable.

2nd Pick
7

Snack Bar

Jockey: Tommy Berry

Trainer: Bjorn Baker

J: Tommy Berry

T: Bjorn Baker

127---17%5/1

Analysis

Is first-up after a break of five months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign third of 11 at this track Bm78 June 28 over 6f, 0.6 len behind Lady Extreme with 125lbs at $3.60. First up last campaign third of 8 at Warwick Farm Bm78 April 16 over 5 ½f, 0.7 len behind One Destiny carrying 128lbs at $2.35. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Sharp sprinter who can resume in good order for the new stable.

1
King's Secret silk

Resuming. Finished off last preparation by 0.5 len Randwick 3yo Bm72 July 12 over 5 ½f slow track defeating Stardeel with 133lbs at $6.50. Previous preparation first-up won by 0.7 len Gosford Mdn-Sw April 25 over 5 ½f slow track defeating Justice Warrior with 129lbs at $1.80. Progressive gelding who can continue where he left off last time in.

3rd Pick
1

King's Secret

Jockey: Andrew Adkins

Trainer: Joseph Pride

J: Andrew Adkins

T: Joseph Pride

108---17%5/1

Analysis

Resuming. Finished off last preparation by 0.5 len Randwick 3yo Bm72 July 12 over 5 ½f slow track defeating Stardeel with 133lbs at $6.50. Previous preparation first-up won by 0.7 len Gosford Mdn-Sw April 25 over 5 ½f slow track defeating Justice Warrior with 129lbs at $1.80. Progressive gelding who can continue where he left off last time in.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

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A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.