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Resulted

AU - Rosehill - Race 3

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
11.9f
Unknown
Turf
GOOD 4
176.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BELLA MONTAGNA (2) has needed the two runs to bring her to her top and backs up quickly after running third over 1 7/16m in the G3 Newcastle Cup. Blinkers go on for this with Tim Clark taking the reins. Expect a bit more intent today, go close. SO YOU ARE (1) in his second run for the new yard he controlled the tempo before booting clear over the rise to score a dominant win over 1 ½m at Randwick in the LR City Tatt's Club Cup. Up slightly in weight and won't get it as easy here. FERNAO (5) came back from Queensland with a slashing second to So You Are in the LR City Tatt's Club Cup at Randwick. Expect to see him race closer from the draw and has the ability to get the better of these. AMPLIFY (4) comes here in peak condition on the quick backup. Chipped away late but never a threat when fourth in the G3 Newcastle Cup over 1 7/16m last Friday. Place preferred. SAM HAWKENS (3) two runs back have only been fair and his best performances have been on rain-affected tracks. Keep safe.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Bella Montagna silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 4th of 7 in the LR Wyong Gold Cup on September 4 over 1 5/16m, 0.9 len behind Matusalem with 119lbs at $4.40. Last start 3rd of 7 in the G3 Newcastle Cup on September 18 over 1 7/16m, 2.75 len behind Aethelwulf with 119lbs at $10. Capable of a better showing. Blinkers go on and looks hard to hold out on the limit.

1st Pick
2

Bella Montagna

Jockey: Tim Clark

Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott

J: Tim Clark

T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott

213---29%

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 4th of 7 in the LR Wyong Gold Cup on September 4 over 1 5/16m, 0.9 len behind Matusalem with 119lbs at $4.40. Last start 3rd of 7 in the G3 Newcastle Cup on September 18 over 1 7/16m, 2.75 len behind Aethelwulf with 119lbs at $10. Capable of a better showing. Blinkers go on and looks hard to hold out on the limit.

1
So You Are silk

Form hard to fault. At the latest run won by 1.75 len in the LR City Tatt's Club Cup at Randwick on September 5 over 1 ½m defeating Fernao with 127lbs at $3. The run before that gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 8 in the G3 Premier's Cup at Randwick on August 22 over 1 ¼m, slow going 0.6 len behind Boniface carrying 117lbs at $3.60. Meets a similar line up again and sure to be thereabouts.

2nd Pick
1

So You Are

Jockey: Rachel King

Trainer: Bjorn Baker

J: Rachel King

T: Bjorn Baker

206---63%

Analysis

Form hard to fault. At the latest run won by 1.75 len in the LR City Tatt's Club Cup at Randwick on September 5 over 1 ½m defeating Fernao with 127lbs at $3. The run before that gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 8 in the G3 Premier's Cup at Randwick on August 22 over 1 ¼m, slow going 0.6 len behind Boniface carrying 117lbs at $3.60. Meets a similar line up again and sure to be thereabouts.

5
Fernao silk

Recent form sound. Most recently 2nd of 8 in the LR City Tatt's Club Cup at Randwick on September 5 over 1 ½m, 1.75 len behind So You Are carrying 117lbs at $6.50. Before that 2nd of 9 in a Bm80 at Doomben on August 22 over 1m, long-neck behind Diamond Show with 130lbs at $3.80. Made up good ground last start and gets every chance.

3rd Pick
5

Fernao

Jockey: Alysha Collett

Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald

J: Alysha Collett

T: Annabel & Rob Archibald

148---17%

Analysis

Recent form sound. Most recently 2nd of 8 in the LR City Tatt's Club Cup at Randwick on September 5 over 1 ½m, 1.75 len behind So You Are carrying 117lbs at $6.50. Before that 2nd of 9 in a Bm80 at Doomben on August 22 over 1m, long-neck behind Diamond Show with 130lbs at $3.80. Made up good ground last start and gets every chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.