AU - Rockhampton - Race 7

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

14.6K

VIEW

Verdict

RED HOT LIZZIE (2) returned to form with a bang last start, taking out a $75k feature over 6 ½f at Mackay in a dominant display. Adam Sewell, with three victories from five rides on the mare, re-unites. Has a decent 6f record so expect her to maintain the outstanding form. LONERGY (10) returned from a two-month lay-off with a desperately close second over 5 ¼f at this track last start, hitting the line with gusto. Gets in light again and the extra ¾f can only help. Definite threat. The consistent HEARTONI (1) raced handy all the way and was only just denied over 5f at Eagle Farm at his latest appearance. This is as far as he likes it but he loves Rocky so a top three finish looks on the cards. PARADE GROUND (7) is racing well without winning and is not out of the contest from the inside gate. TRACK TALE (4) has been a bit plain of late but is a seven-time Rocky winner so leave her out at your peril.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	Form hard to fault. Last start favourite, came from midfield and won by 2.5 len at Mackay Qlty July 17 over 6 ½f defeating Outback Action carrying 115lbs at $3.60. Before that 2nd of 14 at this track Qlty on July 9 over 6 ½f, neck behind Demon Award with 115lbs at $101. Reliable mare who can get the job done again. 1st Pick 2 Red Hot Lizzie Jockey: Adam Sewell Trainer: Lachie Manzelmann J: Adam Sewell T: Lachie Manzelmann	119	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start favourite, came from midfield and won by 2.5 len at Mackay Qlty July 17 over 6 ½f defeating Outback Action carrying 115lbs at $3.60. Before that 2nd of 14 at this track Qlty on July 9 over 6 ½f, neck behind Demon Award with 115lbs at $101. Reliable mare who can get the job done again.
10	Most recently 2nd in a small field at this track Hcp on July 21 over 5 ¼f, nose behind I Am Voodoo carrying 120lbs at $16. The race before that 8th of 12 at this track Bm65 on May 21 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Presocratics carrying 129lbs at $26. Working up to a win. Top chance as always in a race like this. 2nd Pick 10 Lonergy Jockey: Warwick Satherley Trainer: Rodney Hay J: Warwick Satherley T: Rodney Hay	107	-	-	-	8%
Analysis Most recently 2nd in a small field at this track Hcp on July 21 over 5 ¼f, nose behind I Am Voodoo carrying 120lbs at $16. The race before that 8th of 12 at this track Bm65 on May 21 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Presocratics carrying 129lbs at $26. Working up to a win. Top chance as always in a race like this.
1	At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 at Eagle Farm Bm78 on July 15 over 5f, long-neck behind Moulin Miss with 131lbs at $15. The start before that 8th of 16 at Sunshine Coast 3yo&Up Swp on July 4 over 5f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Steady Ready with 123lbs at $91. Among the top chances in this company. 3rd Pick 1 Heartoni Jockey: Kayla Johnston Trainer: Stuart Kendrick J: Kayla Johnston T: Stuart Kendrick	153	-	-	-	39%
Analysis At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 at Eagle Farm Bm78 on July 15 over 5f, long-neck behind Moulin Miss with 131lbs at $15. The start before that 8th of 16 at Sunshine Coast 3yo&Up Swp on July 4 over 5f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Steady Ready with 123lbs at $91. Among the top chances in this company.

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