AU - Rockhampton - Race 5

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

7.5f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

14.6K

VIEW

Verdict

KAREEM (1) scored two wins on end and then didn't have much luck when missing by 3L at Doomben. Comes back to the scene of his victory two runs back and faces a far less daunting assignment. Well placed to bounce back. ITALIAN DANCER (4) needed it first-up and then stepped up to 6f and delivered a 58 at the Sunshine Coast. Draws to advantage and benefits from a 7lbs claim today. Has been kept on the fresh side and won't have to improve much to feature. SAVVY BEE (7) rates similarly on her 58 win at the Sunshine Coast over a mile. Raced favourite in that and will position forward from the inside barrier. Has been freshened and also has claims. REPLACE THE ACE (5) led and went close here 7 days ago as favourite and has weight relief this grade. He's in the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	At the latest run eased back early on 7th of 11 at Doomben Bm68 on January 17 over 1m, 3 len behind Headhunter with 132lbs at $26. The run before that won by 1.2 len at this track Bm62 January 8 over 7f in soft going defeating Smashing Rosie with 137lbs at $16. Can bounce back into the winners' circle. 1st Pick 1 Kareem Jockey: Paul Hamblin Trainer: Krystle Johnston J: Paul Hamblin T: Krystle Johnston	165	-	-	-	20%
Analysis At the latest run eased back early on 7th of 11 at Doomben Bm68 on January 17 over 1m, 3 len behind Headhunter with 132lbs at $26. The run before that won by 1.2 len at this track Bm62 January 8 over 7f in soft going defeating Smashing Rosie with 137lbs at $16. Can bounce back into the winners' circle.
4	Third-up today. Resuming ran last of 10 at Sunshine Coast Cl1 on December 26 over 5f, on a slow track, 9 len behind Goldarnie carrying 129lbs at $12. Second run from a spell raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a head at Sunshine Coast 0 - 58 January 11 over 6f defeating Touchofclass carrying 130lbs at $6.50. Racing well. Winning chance again. 2nd Pick 4 Italian Dancer Jockey: Stephanie Tierney Trainer: Stuart Kendrick J: Stephanie Tierney T: Stuart Kendrick	128	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming ran last of 10 at Sunshine Coast Cl1 on December 26 over 5f, on a slow track, 9 len behind Goldarnie carrying 129lbs at $12. Second run from a spell raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a head at Sunshine Coast 0 - 58 January 11 over 6f defeating Touchofclass carrying 130lbs at $6.50. Racing well. Winning chance again.
7	Form hard to fault. Last start favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a neck at Sunshine Coast 0 - 58 January 9 over 1m on a soft track defeating Bold Hussar carrying 126lbs at $3.40. The start before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Sunshine Coast 0 - 58 on December 7 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Bolshevic Road with 126lbs at $4.40. Sure to get all the favours and has claims. 3rd Pick 7 Savvy Bee Jockey: Rob Thorburn Trainer: Mark Currie J: Rob Thorburn T: Mark Currie	162	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a neck at Sunshine Coast 0 - 58 January 9 over 1m on a soft track defeating Bold Hussar carrying 126lbs at $3.40. The start before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Sunshine Coast 0 - 58 on December 7 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Bolshevic Road with 126lbs at $4.40. Sure to get all the favours and has claims.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.