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4:05 AM

AU - Rockhampton - Race 4

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
7f
OPEN
Turf
GOOD 4
15.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

DON PEDRO (5) is going well for the new yard winning his first try here fresh then beaten a nose last time at Toowoomba. Fitter for the longer trip and looks very well placed with the claim and the light weight. SCRUB CHAIN (6) came home strongly last start to finish second, beaten a nose, over 7 ¾f at Mackay. Will drift back but wind up late. Leading contender. ASTRA STAR (4) has been racing well and is close to a win, the latest effort a solid second at Townsville over 7f. Has a solid record at this circuit. One of the contenders. PIPISTRELLE (1) stuck on well last start to finish third over 1m at Doomben after showing good early speed. Perfectly placed and is sure to prove tough to beat. PEPPERDINE (7) wasn't far away fresh and is a second-up winner who boasts a terrific record here.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Don Pedro silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2.25 len at this track Bm70 May 5 over 5 ½f defeating Red Beauty with 131lbs at $11. Last start sat on the pace when 2nd of 10 at Toowoomba Bm70 on May 16 over 6 ½f, nose behind Luton Hoo carrying 134lbs at $9. Capable of a better showing. Racing well and with the light weight will be tough to beat.

1st Pick
5

Don Pedro

Jockey: Chloe Lowe

Trainer: Rodney Hay

J: Chloe Lowe

T: Rodney Hay

193---20%4/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2.25 len at this track Bm70 May 5 over 5 ½f defeating Red Beauty with 131lbs at $11. Last start sat on the pace when 2nd of 10 at Toowoomba Bm70 on May 16 over 6 ½f, nose behind Luton Hoo carrying 134lbs at $9. Capable of a better showing. Racing well and with the light weight will be tough to beat.

6
Scrub Chain silk

Recent form sound. At the latest run came from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Mackay Hcp on May 14 over 7 ¾f, on a slow track, nose behind Journalism with 132lbs at $1.60. The race before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 13 at this track Fitzroy Qlty on May 5 over 6 ½f, 1.75 len behind Demon Award carrying 115lbs at $41. Just missed latest and can go one better.

2nd Pick
6

Scrub Chain

Jockey: Christopher Mciver

Trainer: Tom F Smith

J: Christopher Mciver

T: Tom F Smith

155---17%5/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. At the latest run came from midfield, 2nd of 9 at Mackay Hcp on May 14 over 7 ¾f, on a slow track, nose behind Journalism with 132lbs at $1.60. The race before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 13 at this track Fitzroy Qlty on May 5 over 6 ½f, 1.75 len behind Demon Award carrying 115lbs at $41. Just missed latest and can go one better.

4
Astra Star silk

Form hard to fault. Most recently made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 13 at Townsville Hcp on May 8 over 7f, slow going 0.6 len behind Smart Legend with 121lbs at $3.80. The run before that 3rd of 7 at this track Mayors Cup on April 12 over 6f, slow going 0.8 len behind Pride Of Venus with 121lbs at $3.40. Overdue and shapes as one of the key chances.

3rd Pick
4

Astra Star

Jockey: Chris Whiteley

Trainer: Kris Hansen

J: Chris Whiteley

T: Kris Hansen

162---19%9/2

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Most recently made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 13 at Townsville Hcp on May 8 over 7f, slow going 0.6 len behind Smart Legend with 121lbs at $3.80. The run before that 3rd of 7 at this track Mayors Cup on April 12 over 6f, slow going 0.8 len behind Pride Of Venus with 121lbs at $3.40. Overdue and shapes as one of the key chances.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.