AU - Rockhampton - Race 2

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

5.2f

Class 1

Turf

SOFT 5

14.7K

VIEW

Verdict

ERIMAR (5) is the horse to beat after staying within two and a half lengths of High Prophet in Saturday 3yo Open company at Doomben, with late interference adding merit. His previous Doomben sixth was also better than it reads after covering ground, and the return to Class 1 level is backed by a prior win at this track and trip plus proven wet-track form. SHIPPING LANE (2) brings a direct Mackay Class 2 line, beaten a head by Tara I Am at generous odds, but the soft 5 is a small unknown. ADRANOS (1) has the class drop from a Mackay Class 2 and was only beaten two lengths as favourite there, though he has to rebound from an untidy, keen-running effort and prove as effective at this venue. MR GREY (8) is the value danger if he is sharp off a two-month freshening, with his Emerald fifth in Benchmark 55 grade better than the margin after he finished off despite racing wide early.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Brings the strongest form line through two Doomben runs, most recently sixth in Saturday 3yo Open grade and beaten only two and a half lengths by High Prophet after coping with interference late. The run prior also had merit after racing wide and being hampered, so the drop to a Class 1 is significant. Clear top pick. 1st Pick 5 Erimar Jockey: Justin P Stanley Trainer: Sharryn Livingstone J: Justin P Stanley T: Sharryn Livingstone	192	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Brings the strongest form line through two Doomben runs, most recently sixth in Saturday 3yo Open grade and beaten only two and a half lengths by High Prophet after coping with interference late. The run prior also had merit after racing wide and being hampered, so the drop to a Class 1 is significant. Clear top pick.
2	Produced a much better return in a Class 2 at Mackay, leading and being collared late when second to Tara I Am by a head at generous odds. That was a clear lift on the soft-track Sunshine Coast sixth that closed his previous campaign. Second-up with the claim, he profiles as a genuine place chance. 2nd Pick 2 Shipping Lane Jockey: Nikki Olzard Trainer: Maree Skillington J: Nikki Olzard T: Maree Skillington	176	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Produced a much better return in a Class 2 at Mackay, leading and being collared late when second to Tara I Am by a head at generous odds. That was a clear lift on the soft-track Sunshine Coast sixth that closed his previous campaign. Second-up with the claim, he profiles as a genuine place chance.
1	Dropped out of a Class 2 at Mackay last start as favourite and finished fourth, beaten two lengths, after jumping awkwardly, racing keenly and getting near heels in the straight. The Ipswich run prior was plain when second last over 6 ¾f, so the stable is looking for a sharper response with the class drop and new headgear. Honest enough for exotics, but the 5 ¼f still asks a question. 3rd Pick 1 Adranos Jockey: Raul Silvera Olivera Trainer: Ricky Vale J: Raul Silvera Olivera T: Ricky Vale	142	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Dropped out of a Class 2 at Mackay last start as favourite and finished fourth, beaten two lengths, after jumping awkwardly, racing keenly and getting near heels in the straight. The Ipswich run prior was plain when second last over 6 ¾f, so the stable is looking for a sharper response with the class drop and new headgear. Honest enough for exotics, but the 5 ¼f still asks a question.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.