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7:05 AM

AU - Randwick Kensington - Race 7

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
6.2f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
43.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

RIVENDELL (5) trialled sharply before resuming but has only been okay with a pair of fourths. Blinkers go on third up and JMac takes over. Bold showing anticipated. KOMODO DRAGON (7) is a promising gelding for the O'Shea & Charlton yard. Chased gamely into second behind Castlejohn when resuming. There's a chance he's already looking for further, but he's got enough ability to have himself in the finish. BETTER LATE (8) was taken straight to the front second up and didn't give his rivals a sniff, leading all the way. Strips fitter and draws kinder. Can give this a shake. SIRAGUSA (10) returns and has been fitted with two solid trials. Drawn to advantage and can make his presence felt.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Rivendell silk

Third-up today. Resuming 4th of 9 in a Cg&E Bm72 at Canterbury on August 12 over 6 ¼f, slow going 1.5 len behind Unstopabull with 132lbs at $6.50. Last start 4th of 9 in a Cg&E Bm72 at Canterbury on August 26 over 6 ¼f, slow going 3.5 len behind Castlejohn with 132lbs at $12. Fitter and gets the blinkers applied to sharpen him right up.

1st Pick
5

Rivendell

Jockey: James Mcdonald

Trainer: Peter Snowden

J: James Mcdonald

T: Peter Snowden

189---20%4/1

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming 4th of 9 in a Cg&E Bm72 at Canterbury on August 12 over 6 ¼f, slow going 1.5 len behind Unstopabull with 132lbs at $6.50. Last start 4th of 9 in a Cg&E Bm72 at Canterbury on August 26 over 6 ¼f, slow going 3.5 len behind Castlejohn with 132lbs at $12. Fitter and gets the blinkers applied to sharpen him right up.

7
Komodo Dragon silk

Racing second-up today. Last start made ground from midfield, 2nd of 9 in a Cg&E Bm72 at Canterbury on August 26 over 6 ¼f, slow going 3 len behind Castlejohn with 129lbs at $5. At only start last preparation held ground to the line 3rd of 9 in a 3&4yo Bm72 at Warwick Farm on January 7 over 6f, 1.4 len behind Ellipsis with 129lbs at $5.50. Has a lot more to offer but may want a touch further.

2nd Pick
7

Komodo Dragon

Jockey: Zac Lloyd

Trainer: John O'shea & Tom Charlton

J: Zac Lloyd

T: John O'shea & Tom Charlton

165---29%5/2

Analysis

Racing second-up today. Last start made ground from midfield, 2nd of 9 in a Cg&E Bm72 at Canterbury on August 26 over 6 ¼f, slow going 3 len behind Castlejohn with 129lbs at $5. At only start last preparation held ground to the line 3rd of 9 in a 3&4yo Bm72 at Warwick Farm on January 7 over 6f, 1.4 len behind Ellipsis with 129lbs at $5.50. Has a lot more to offer but may want a touch further.

8
Better Late silk

Third-up today. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 in a Cg&E Bm64 at Gosford on August 6 over 6f, 0.7 len behind Forest King carrying 129lbs at $2.60. Second-up won by 2.5 len in a Prov Bm68 at Beaumont (Newcastle) on August 25 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Grinzinger Pod with 126lbs at $3.90. Deserves plenty of respect.

3rd Pick
8

Better Late

Jockey: Ashley Morgan

Trainer: Nathan Doyle

J: Ashley Morgan

T: Nathan Doyle

162---16%11/2

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 in a Cg&E Bm64 at Gosford on August 6 over 6f, 0.7 len behind Forest King carrying 129lbs at $2.60. Second-up won by 2.5 len in a Prov Bm68 at Beaumont (Newcastle) on August 25 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Grinzinger Pod with 126lbs at $3.90. Deserves plenty of respect.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.