START YOUR OWN WINNING STREAK
Player Image
SportsBookLogo
Chevrons Texture
5:10 AM

AU - Randwick Kensington - Race 5

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
7f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 9
41.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

THE REPLICANT (10) has savaged the line at both runs this time in work, the latest last Wednesday when he was beaten under a length over 6 ½f at Warwick Farm. Placed at five of six third-up runs and his top three strike rate over this trip sits at 77%. Hard to find fault. CONCHIERO (2) raced on the speed and dug deep to hang on for third when resuming over 6f at Canterbury a fortnight ago. Genuine four-year-old who will be far more at home over today's journey. Sure to be in the firing line for a long way. WINSTON HILLS (4) was ridden in front and ran a far better race last time out over 7f at Randwick. Very fit now and is not out of contention back in midweek company. APPLAUD (5) hasn't been too far away in his two runs this prep. Drops in grade and should be peaking now. PERFECT PICTURE (8) scored impressively for new trainer John Thompson at Canterbury last start. Big step up in trip is the only query.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
The Replicant silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 5th of 11 at Warwick Farm 4yo+ Bm72 on June 3 over 6 ½f, slow going 2 len behind Aye Aye Captain with 128lbs at $10. Second-up 4th of 12 at Warwick Farm Cg&E Bm72 on June 24 over 6 ½f, 0.9 len behind High Blue Sea with 128lbs at $15. Looks like all systems go with the blinkers back on.

1st Pick
10

The Replicant

Jockey: Adam Hyeronimus

Trainer: Joseph Pride

J: Adam Hyeronimus

T: Joseph Pride

144---12%15/2

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 5th of 11 at Warwick Farm 4yo+ Bm72 on June 3 over 6 ½f, slow going 2 len behind Aye Aye Captain with 128lbs at $10. Second-up 4th of 12 at Warwick Farm Cg&E Bm72 on June 24 over 6 ½f, 0.9 len behind High Blue Sea with 128lbs at $15. Looks like all systems go with the blinkers back on.

2
Conchiero silk

Second run back. First-up after three months crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 3rd of 11 at Canterbury 4yo+ Bm72 on June 17 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Island Dec with 131lbs at $12. Previously second-up 7th of 9 at Cranbourne Bm74 on February 13 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Hot Digity Boom carrying 127lbs at $4. Has won second-up in the past and is capable of building on that record.

2nd Pick
2

Conchiero

Jockey: Zac Wadick

Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott

J: Zac Wadick

T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott

139---23%7/2

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after three months crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 3rd of 11 at Canterbury 4yo+ Bm72 on June 17 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Island Dec with 131lbs at $12. Previously second-up 7th of 9 at Cranbourne Bm74 on February 13 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Hot Digity Boom carrying 127lbs at $4. Has won second-up in the past and is capable of building on that record.

4
Winston Hills silk

Most recently led to the turn then faded 5th of 12 at Randwick Bm78 on June 6 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Mr Chaplin carrying 126lbs at $61. The start before that ran second last of 11 at Randwick Cg&E Bm78 on May 23 over 7f, on rain affected going, 15 len behind Invader Zim with 127lbs at $18. Can continue the upward trend.

3rd Pick
4

Winston Hills

Jockey: Siena Grima

Trainer: Matthew Smith

J: Siena Grima

T: Matthew Smith

117---8%12/1

Analysis

Most recently led to the turn then faded 5th of 12 at Randwick Bm78 on June 6 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Mr Chaplin carrying 126lbs at $61. The start before that ran second last of 11 at Randwick Cg&E Bm78 on May 23 over 7f, on rain affected going, 15 len behind Invader Zim with 127lbs at $18. Can continue the upward trend.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.