AU - Randwick Kensington - Race 1

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

8.9f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

43.2K

VIEW

Verdict

STITZER (10) was well backed first up at Kembla Grange but was too bad to be true when getting pulled up in the lane. Has since gone back to the trials where he was pushed right out behind a few smart ones. Blinkers go on and Lloyd takes over. Sharp improvement anticipated. PRESUMPTUOUS GAL (8) was a big improver second up at Newcastle when charging home hard to just miss the bob over the mile. The rise to 1 ?m third up looks perfect for her now. GENTLE GIANT (1) gave a bold sight on debut at Kembla Grange, only to be collared late. He's sure to have come on from that and gets Hyeronimus taking over. Expect them to hunt forward again and prove tougher to run down. ROULADEN (4) boasts a fitness edge and should land up on speed again. Should be in this for a long way and is a top-three chance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Second run back. First-up after four months ran last of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Kembla Grange on August 15 over 7f, 15 len behind Hitch carrying 125lbs at $2.40. Previously second-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 11 in the LR Fernhill Handicap at Randwick on April 11 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Diameter with 126lbs at $6. Was too bad to be true fresh and can improve sharply with the rise in trip. 1st Pick 10 Stitzer Jockey: Zac Lloyd Trainer: John O'shea & Tom Charlton J: Zac Lloyd T: John O'shea & Tom Charlton	149	-	-	-	40%	6/4
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months ran last of 11 in a Mdn-Sw at Kembla Grange on August 15 over 7f, 15 len behind Hitch carrying 125lbs at $2.40. Previously second-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 11 in the LR Fernhill Handicap at Randwick on April 11 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Diameter with 126lbs at $6. Was too bad to be true fresh and can improve sharply with the rise in trip.
8	Third-up today. Resuming 10th of 12 in a Mid Mdn-Sw at Kembla Grange on August 8 over 7f, 8 len behind Green Winter with 126lbs at $15. Second-up took up a position near the tail 2nd of 10 in a 4yo+ Mdn-Sw at Newcastle on August 22 over 1m, nose behind Take A Day Off carrying 126lbs at $21. Not far away of late. Hit the line hard at the latest and will relish the rise in trip. 2nd Pick 8 Presumptuous Gal Jockey: Alysha Collett Trainer: David Pfieffer J: Alysha Collett T: David Pfieffer	115	-	-	-	6%	16/1
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 10th of 12 in a Mid Mdn-Sw at Kembla Grange on August 8 over 7f, 8 len behind Green Winter with 126lbs at $15. Second-up took up a position near the tail 2nd of 10 in a 4yo+ Mdn-Sw at Newcastle on August 22 over 1m, nose behind Take A Day Off carrying 126lbs at $21. Not far away of late. Hit the line hard at the latest and will relish the rise in trip.
1	At debut, 4th of 8 in a Super Mdn at Kembla Grange on August 29 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Emirate Star carrying 130lbs at $6.50. Improver who looks ideally placed here. Will prove tough to run down. 3rd Pick 1 Gentle Giant Jockey: Adam Hyeronimus Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Adam Hyeronimus T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	162	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis At debut, 4th of 8 in a Super Mdn at Kembla Grange on August 29 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Emirate Star carrying 130lbs at $6.50. Improver who looks ideally placed here. Will prove tough to run down.

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