AU - Randwick - Race 9

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

110.7K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

NARBOLD (13) was three weeks between runs when slow into stride and raced without luck in the straight to finish eleventh over 7 ½f at Rosehill. Senior rider hops back aboard and can finish much closer here. IT'S A KNOCKOUT (14) key jockey change third-up and can return to form quickly despite drawing out. Has a good record over this course and distance and best form is on rain affected tracks. LUGH (2) undefeated in two second-up runs and finds an easier race with the claim. Closed well on resumption when fifth over 6 ½f at this track. Anywhere near his best can beat these. EMIRATE (9) in career best form and gets the right run with the extra weight. Stays in the mix. THUNDERLIPS (3) has a good record over this track and trip and expected to show up today.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
13	Dual acceptor. Last start eased back early on 11th of 15 at Rosehill Bm88 on June 27 over 7 ½f, slow going 5 len behind Emirate carrying 123lbs at $11. The start before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track Racing2win on June 6 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Formal Display carrying 119lbs at $4.80. Fitter now and a win looks imminent. 1st Pick 13 Narbold Jockey: Tyler Schiller Trainer: Chris Waller J: Tyler Schiller T: Chris Waller	131	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Dual acceptor. Last start eased back early on 11th of 15 at Rosehill Bm88 on June 27 over 7 ½f, slow going 5 len behind Emirate carrying 123lbs at $11. The start before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at this track Racing2win on June 6 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Formal Display carrying 119lbs at $4.80. Fitter now and a win looks imminent.
14	Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 5th of 13 at Flemington Bm84 on June 6 over 7f, on a wet track, 2.5 len behind Roadcone with 123lbs at $10. Second-up 6th of 13 at Flemington F&M Bm90 on June 20 over 7f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Stylish with 120lbs at $8.50. Caught the eye in her two runs back and expected to go close. 2nd Pick 14 It's A Knockout Jockey: Zac Lloyd Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Zac Lloyd T: Ciaron Maher	132	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 5th of 13 at Flemington Bm84 on June 6 over 7f, on a wet track, 2.5 len behind Roadcone with 123lbs at $10. Second-up 6th of 13 at Flemington F&M Bm90 on June 20 over 7f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Stylish with 120lbs at $8.50. Caught the eye in her two runs back and expected to go close.
2	Second run back. First-up after seven months 5th of 14 at this track Bm94 on June 6 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Cool Jakey carrying 128lbs at $4.60. Previously second-up won by 0.8 len at this track 4yo+ Bm78 July 26 over 6 ½f in soft going defeating Starman carrying 123lbs at $9. Rates highly and looks a strong chance with the claim. 3rd Pick 2 Lugh Jockey: Siena Grima Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Siena Grima T: Ciaron Maher	99	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after seven months 5th of 14 at this track Bm94 on June 6 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Cool Jakey carrying 128lbs at $4.60. Previously second-up won by 0.8 len at this track 4yo+ Bm78 July 26 over 6 ½f in soft going defeating Starman carrying 123lbs at $9. Rates highly and looks a strong chance with the claim.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.