AU - Randwick - Race 7

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

11.9f

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

519.4K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

AETHELWULF (7) undefeated at his last four outings and faces his acid test today in a much stronger contest. Had the race won on the turn when leading throughout for a decisive victory over 1 7/16m in the G3 Newcastle Cup. Finds a lot more pressure here and expected to go on with it from the low gate. GREEN SPACES (4) ATC Derby winner last year who gets a better set-up fourth up. Chipped away late from the wide gate when eleventh in the G2 Kingston Town Stakes over 1 ¼m at this track. Only has to recapture the Derby win to figure prominently. DEAKIN (3) tough import who ran a tidy eighth in the G1 Caulfield Cup last year. Fitter after two runs back and gets on pace favours. THE EUPHRATES (1) two runs for the new yard have been sound but will need to go to a new level with the 130lbs. Led throughout with a soft win in the G2 Kingston Town Stakes at this track. Gets a better set-up and stays in the mix. THEBUDGIESMUGLA (8) has a good record at the trip and don't dismiss in this grade.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Dual acceptor. On a four run winning streak. At the latest run favourite, came from midfield and won by 2.5 len in the G3 Newcastle Cup on September 18 over 1 7/16m defeating Steel Blaze carrying 119lbs at $1.20. Before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2.25 len in a Bm78 at Rosehill on August 29 over 1 ¼m defeating Anthracite carrying 128lbs at $1.35. Goes to a new level again and not sure where the ceiling is. 1st Pick 7 Aethelwulf Jockey: Zac Lloyd Trainer: Matthew Smith J: Zac Lloyd T: Matthew Smith	156	-	-	-	43%	11/8
Analysis Dual acceptor. On a four run winning streak. At the latest run favourite, came from midfield and won by 2.5 len in the G3 Newcastle Cup on September 18 over 1 7/16m defeating Steel Blaze carrying 119lbs at $1.20. Before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2.25 len in a Bm78 at Rosehill on August 29 over 1 ¼m defeating Anthracite carrying 128lbs at $1.35. Goes to a new level again and not sure where the ceiling is.
4	Most recently 11th of 14 in the G2 Kingston Town Stakes at this track on September 19 over 1 ¼m, 5.5 len behind The Euphrates with 128lbs at $10. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 9 in the G2 Chelmsford Stakes at this track on September 5 over 1m, 3 len behind Lindermann carrying 129lbs at $9. ATC Derby winner set to peak fourth up. 2nd Pick 4 Green Spaces Jockey: Rachel King Trainer: Bjorn Baker J: Rachel King T: Bjorn Baker	170	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Most recently 11th of 14 in the G2 Kingston Town Stakes at this track on September 19 over 1 ¼m, 5.5 len behind The Euphrates with 128lbs at $10. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 9 in the G2 Chelmsford Stakes at this track on September 5 over 1m, 3 len behind Lindermann carrying 129lbs at $9. ATC Derby winner set to peak fourth up.
3	Dual acceptor. Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up came from midfield, 3rd of 16 in a LR Heatherlie Stakes at Caulfield on August 29 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 1.2 len behind Kingswood with 127lbs at $51. Second run from a spell 8th of 16 in the G3 Naturalism Stakes at Caulfield on September 19 over 1 ¼m, 2 len behind Zahrann carrying 122lbs at $7. Coming along nicely and is a great chance to atone. 3rd Pick 3 Deakin Jockey: Kerrin Mcevoy Trainer: Phillip & Tommy Stokes J: Kerrin Mcevoy T: Phillip & Tommy Stokes	102	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Dual acceptor. Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up came from midfield, 3rd of 16 in a LR Heatherlie Stakes at Caulfield on August 29 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 1.2 len behind Kingswood with 127lbs at $51. Second run from a spell 8th of 16 in the G3 Naturalism Stakes at Caulfield on September 19 over 1 ¼m, 2 len behind Zahrann carrying 122lbs at $7. Coming along nicely and is a great chance to atone.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.