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5:00 AM

AU - Randwick - Race 6

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
8f
OPEN
Turf
SOFT 5
519.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

STRIKING ALIBI (2) began awkwardly second up along the inside, and returned slashing splits from near last on the turn when the runs came to secure second in the G2 Tea Rose Stakes at this track over 7f. Will appreciate the smaller field today and can get the better of Bangkok Hottie over the extra ground. BANGKOK HOTTIE (1) had the fitness edge over her main rivals all prep and looks to get the soft lead today. Was off and gone inside the 1f when she stalked the speed for a soft win in the G2 Tea Rose Stakes. Will have little trouble running a solid mile and shapes as the main danger. GLOBAL GOAL (3) underrated filly heading in the right direction. Just under a month between runs when she knuckled down strongly to finish a close third in the G2 Tea Rose Stakes. Strips fitter and expected to go close. QUEEN'S GAMBLE (4) never on the track when sixth in the Tea Rose. Kept up to the mark with a 11f trial placing and stays in the mix. DE ARMAS (5) can surprise at the big odds.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Striking Alibi silk

Third-up today. Resuming ran on from midfield, 3rd of 10 in the G2 Furious Stakes at this track on September 5 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Bangkok Hottie carrying 123lbs at $21. Last start 2nd of 9 in the G2 Tea Rose Stakes at this track on September 19 over 7f, 0.7 len behind Bangkok Hottie with 123lbs at $2.70. Has been behind the eight ball all prep and set to deliver over the mile.

1st Pick
2

Striking Alibi

Jockey: James Mcdonald

Trainer: Chris Waller

J: James Mcdonald

T: Chris Waller

182---40%6/4

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming ran on from midfield, 3rd of 10 in the G2 Furious Stakes at this track on September 5 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Bangkok Hottie carrying 123lbs at $21. Last start 2nd of 9 in the G2 Tea Rose Stakes at this track on September 19 over 7f, 0.7 len behind Bangkok Hottie with 123lbs at $2.70. Has been behind the eight ball all prep and set to deliver over the mile.

1
Bangkok Hottie silk

Form hard to fault. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.7 len in the G2 Tea Rose Stakes at this track on September 19 over 7f defeating Striking Alibi carrying 123lbs at $3.90. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.5 len in the G2 Furious Stakes at this track on September 5 over 6f defeating Chilly Girl carrying 123lbs at $8.50. Courageous filly hard to stop in this vein of form.

2nd Pick
1

Bangkok Hottie

Jockey: Kerrin Mcevoy

Trainer: David Payne

J: Kerrin Mcevoy

T: David Payne

227---31%9/4

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.7 len in the G2 Tea Rose Stakes at this track on September 19 over 7f defeating Striking Alibi carrying 123lbs at $3.90. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.5 len in the G2 Furious Stakes at this track on September 5 over 6f defeating Chilly Girl carrying 123lbs at $8.50. Courageous filly hard to stop in this vein of form.

3
Global Goal silk

Third-up today. First-up 3rd of 10 in the G2 Silver Shadow Stakes at this track on August 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Pembrey carrying 121lbs at $14. Last start 3rd of 9 in the G2 Tea Rose Stakes at this track on September 19 over 7f, 1.1 len behind Bangkok Hottie with 123lbs at $7.50. Terrific chance to continue the strong form.

3rd Pick
3

Global Goal

Jockey: Dylan Gibbons

Trainer: John Sargent

J: Dylan Gibbons

T: John Sargent

131---34%2/1

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up 3rd of 10 in the G2 Silver Shadow Stakes at this track on August 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Pembrey carrying 121lbs at $14. Last start 3rd of 9 in the G2 Tea Rose Stakes at this track on September 19 over 7f, 1.1 len behind Bangkok Hottie with 123lbs at $7.50. Terrific chance to continue the strong form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.