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5:05 AM

AU - Randwick - Race 5

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
5f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
114.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LULUMON (2) back in class and trip and returns from a let-up. Warmed up late in the soft (7) going with a respectable fifth over 6f at Kembla Grange in the Bert Lillye on March 13. Since fitted with a 4f trial at Warwick Farm. Blinkers go on and can swoop over the top of these. COMPENSATION (12) thrown in the deep end here after scoring his Maiden victory over 5 ½f on a rain affected track at Rosehill. Will go forward on the limit weight from the good gate and can surprise some of his more seasoned sprinters. Respect. HAY STREET (15) returns from a let-up and chasing his third straight win. Up quickly in class when sat on the speed for a soft win over 5 ¾f at Randwick Kensington in BM78 class. Hard to stop in this vein of form. CONFIDENTIALITY (13) nice mare undefeated in two starts. First-up after five months saluted over 4 ½f at Newcastle in C1 grade. has claims on the limit. DUROVA (3) undefeated in two runs back and worth thought.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Lulumon silk

Comes here off a 43-day let-up. Most recently 5th of 8 at Kembla Grange Lillye - Bm94 on March 13 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Well Timed with 121lbs at $6. Before that 6th of 11 at Rosehill Bm94 on February 21 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Kerguelen with 115lbs at $15. Kept fresh with the blinkers going on, hard to hold out.

1st Pick
2

Lulumon

Jockey: Regan Bayliss

Trainer: Jason Coyle

J: Regan Bayliss

T: Jason Coyle

80---12%8/1

Analysis

Comes here off a 43-day let-up. Most recently 5th of 8 at Kembla Grange Lillye - Bm94 on March 13 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Well Timed with 121lbs at $6. Before that 6th of 11 at Rosehill Bm94 on February 21 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Kerguelen with 115lbs at $15. Kept fresh with the blinkers going on, hard to hold out.

7
Straand Beauty silk

Racing well recently. Comes off a 29 day let-up. Most recently sat on the pace when 2nd of 10 at Muswellbrook Skellatar Bm92 on March 27 over 5f, slow going head behind Durova carrying 129lbs at $4.60. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.6 len at Warwick Farm Bm72 February 18 over 5f defeating Nazwah carrying 131lbs at $2.50. Handy sprinter who deserves his chance in this field.

2nd Pick
7

Straand Beauty

Jockey: Jason Collett

Trainer: Liam Ruddy

J: Jason Collett

T: Liam Ruddy

118---7%15/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. Comes off a 29 day let-up. Most recently sat on the pace when 2nd of 10 at Muswellbrook Skellatar Bm92 on March 27 over 5f, slow going head behind Durova carrying 129lbs at $4.60. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.6 len at Warwick Farm Bm72 February 18 over 5f defeating Nazwah carrying 131lbs at $2.50. Handy sprinter who deserves his chance in this field.

12
Compensation silk

Raced twice to date. When well in the market at debut, sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at Warwick Farm Super Mdn-Sw on March 11 over 5 ½f, slow going 2.5 len behind Castlejohn with 129lbs at $1.75. Second-up won by 0.6 len at Rosehill 3yo+ MDN-Sw April 6 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Loera carrying 129lbs at $3.10. Improving gelding who can surprise in this tougher test.

3rd Pick
12

Compensation

Jockey: Rachel King

Trainer: Bjorn Baker

J: Rachel King

T: Bjorn Baker

118---35%15/8

Analysis

Raced twice to date. When well in the market at debut, sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at Warwick Farm Super Mdn-Sw on March 11 over 5 ½f, slow going 2.5 len behind Castlejohn with 129lbs at $1.75. Second-up won by 0.6 len at Rosehill 3yo+ MDN-Sw April 6 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Loera carrying 129lbs at $3.10. Improving gelding who can surprise in this tougher test.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.