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2:40 AM

AU - Randwick - Race 3

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
7f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 6
112.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

AVISTA (5) well bred mare who gets her chance in town after making in three straight wins when proving too strong for them over 7 ½f at Muswellbrook in BM66 grade. J Mac takes the reins from the good gate and can finish over the top of these. BLENHEIM GIRL (9) steps up in trip after scoring a tidy win first-up over 6f at Canterbury. Looks to be heading in the right direction and her Maiden win came over this trip. Will be savaging the line late on the limit weight. DUSTY BAY (1) strong winner when fresh two-back, then covered a stack of ground in the run when seventh over 7 ½f at Rosehill. No excuses here with winning apprentice back aboard. PERSIAN WONDER (3) finally got off the mark first-up with a well deserved Maiden win over 6f at Canterbury with the 131lbs. Placed at Group level last prep and will relish the extra trip. NULLARBOR JANE (2) has a tougher edge this prep and place best out to the 7f.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Avista silk

Third-up today. Resuming favourite, won by 1.5 len at Scone Cl1 July 10 over 6 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Rockthevelio with 127lbs at $1.80. Second run from a spell favourite, was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 4.5 len at Muswellbrook Bm66 July 26 over 7 ½f defeating Hinune carrying 130lbs at $1.16. Ready to deliver in town.

1st Pick
5

Avista

Jockey: James Mcdonald

Trainer: Paul Messara & Leah Gavranich

J: James Mcdonald

T: Paul Messara & Leah Gavranich

143---48%11/10

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming favourite, won by 1.5 len at Scone Cl1 July 10 over 6 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Rockthevelio with 127lbs at $1.80. Second run from a spell favourite, was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 4.5 len at Muswellbrook Bm66 July 26 over 7 ½f defeating Hinune carrying 130lbs at $1.16. Ready to deliver in town.

9
Blenheim Girl silk

Second-up. First-up after seven months won by a long-neck at Canterbury F&M Bm64 July 22 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating You're The Choice with 126lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up came from midfield and won by 1.2 len at Gold Coast Mdn-Sw December 27 over 7f on a soft track defeating Peak Miss with 121lbs at $4. Back in good order and will be strong late.

2nd Pick
9

Blenheim Girl

Jockey: Tyler Schiller

Trainer: Chris Waller

J: Tyler Schiller

T: Chris Waller

116---9%11/1

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after seven months won by a long-neck at Canterbury F&M Bm64 July 22 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating You're The Choice with 126lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up came from midfield and won by 1.2 len at Gold Coast Mdn-Sw December 27 over 7f on a soft track defeating Peak Miss with 121lbs at $4. Back in good order and will be strong late.

1
Dusty Bay silk

At the latest run 7th of 9 at Rosehill 3&4yo Bm72 on August 1 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Funshow with 127lbs at $11. Before that came from midfield and won by 2 len at Warwick Farm Bm72 July 15 over 7f defeating Rimbaud carrying 123lbs at $2.90. Will sit on the good tempo and improve sharply.

3rd Pick
1

Dusty Bay

Jockey: Siena Grima

Trainer: Tracey Bartley

J: Siena Grima

T: Tracey Bartley

233---12%15/2

Analysis

At the latest run 7th of 9 at Rosehill 3&4yo Bm72 on August 1 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Funshow with 127lbs at $11. Before that came from midfield and won by 2 len at Warwick Farm Bm72 July 15 over 7f defeating Rimbaud carrying 123lbs at $2.90. Will sit on the good tempo and improve sharply.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.