AU - Randwick - Race 10

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Unknown

Turf

GOOD 4

112.4K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

ESTADIO MESTALLA (1) has improved at each run this prep. Turned in a real eye-catcher in the 7f Group 3 Alan Brown last start, thundering home from a long way back to be beaten a long neck. Rock hard fit and screaming out for the mile now. Big chance despite the 61kgs. ANYTHINK GOES (10) missed by a lip in the 1 5/16m Wyong Cup two back then found 7f too sharp last time. Veteran who loves this trip and is in with a chance at the weights. ANTHRACITE (9) led all the way and just prevailed over an in-form Barrengarry a fortnight ago over 1 ¼m at Rosehill. Coming back to the Randwick mile is of no concern. Genuine contender down on 52kgs. LORD PENMAN (5) failed first-up at Caulfield. Draws the fence and is capable of a lot better. THRICE (11) returns from a five-month spell and has been gelded. Better known over more ground than this but a mile while fresh with no weight looks a nice set-up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 15 in the G3 Alan Brown Stakes at Rosehill on October 10 over 7f, long-neck behind Formal Display carrying 123lbs at $21. Looks to have the measure of these. 1st Pick 1 Estadio Mestalla Jockey: Nash Rawiller Trainer: Joseph Pride J: Nash Rawiller T: Joseph Pride	172	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 15 in the G3 Alan Brown Stakes at Rosehill on October 10 over 7f, long-neck behind Formal Display carrying 123lbs at $21. Looks to have the measure of these.
10	At the latest run ran last of 7 in a Cg&E Bm78 at Randwick Kensington on October 7 over 7f, on a slow track, 6 len behind True To Form with 132lbs at $11. Rates highly on best form and can make amends. 2nd Pick 10 Anythink Goes Jockey: Tyler Schiller Trainer: Matthew Smith J: Tyler Schiller T: Matthew Smith	124	-	-	-	6%	18/1
Analysis At the latest run ran last of 7 in a Cg&E Bm78 at Randwick Kensington on October 7 over 7f, on a slow track, 6 len behind True To Form with 132lbs at $11. Rates highly on best form and can make amends.
9	Recent form sound. Most recently won by a nose in a Bm88 at Rosehill on October 10 over 1 ¼m defeating Barrengarry carrying 121lbs at $4. Good miler who is a terrific lightweight chance. 3rd Pick 9 Anthracite Jockey: Andrew Adkins Trainer: Joseph Pride J: Andrew Adkins T: Joseph Pride	125	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently won by a nose in a Bm88 at Rosehill on October 10 over 1 ¼m defeating Barrengarry carrying 121lbs at $4. Good miler who is a terrific lightweight chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.