AU - Randwick - Race 1

Thoroughbred

21 Runners

Class 3

Turf

SOFT 6

84.9K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

CHAINS OF LOVE (4) nice filly expected to go quickly through the grades this time in. Thrown in the deep end second-up from the wide gate with a tough on-pace sixth over 6f in the LR Queensland Day Stakes at Eagle Farm. Has the speed to get over from the poor draw and take holding out. EXIT FEE (1) at his top for this and will relish the extra ½f today. Given every chance in the straight with the 134lbs when he failed to pick up She Within over 1½f at this track. Doesn't have to improve much to take this out. OCCULT (6) sharp drop in trip last start and failed to get cover with a tiring thirteenth over 1½f at this track. McEvoy sticks and can race closer from the better gate. SHE WITHIN (7) saved a ton of ground along the inside with a dominant victory from back in the field over 1½f at this track in Highway class. Even better placed out to the 6f. Can overcome the extra weight and win again. MARTINI MUMMA (11) underrated mare who can sprint well fresh with the claim.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Third-up today. First-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 4.5 len at Scone Ctry Cl1 May 15 over 5 ½f defeating Starverna carrying 127lbs at $1.60. Last start crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 6th of 17 at Eagle Farm in the LR Qld Day on June 6 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Earn To Burn with 121lbs at $8. Nice filly who can't draw a decent gate, the one to beat. 1st Pick 4 Chains Of Love Jockey: Aaron Bullock Trainer: Paul Messara & Leah Gavranich J: Aaron Bullock T: Paul Messara & Leah Gavranich	306	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Third-up today. First-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 4.5 len at Scone Ctry Cl1 May 15 over 5 ½f defeating Starverna carrying 127lbs at $1.60. Last start crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 6th of 17 at Eagle Farm in the LR Qld Day on June 6 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Earn To Burn with 121lbs at $8. Nice filly who can't draw a decent gate, the one to beat.
1	Form hard to fault. At the latest run 3rd of 14 at this track Highway-C3 on June 6 over 5 ½f, slow going 1.5 len behind She Within carrying 134lbs at $3.30. The start before that won by a nose at this track Highway-C3 May 23 over 6f in soft going defeating Wayburn with 129lbs at $3.20. Back in good order and shapes as the main danger. 2nd Pick 1 Exit Fee Jockey: Adam Hyeronimus Trainer: Danny Williams J: Adam Hyeronimus T: Danny Williams	188	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run 3rd of 14 at this track Highway-C3 on June 6 over 5 ½f, slow going 1.5 len behind She Within carrying 134lbs at $3.30. The start before that won by a nose at this track Highway-C3 May 23 over 6f in soft going defeating Wayburn with 129lbs at $3.20. Back in good order and shapes as the main danger.
6	At the latest run ran second last of 14 at this track Highway-C3 on June 6 over 5 ½f, slow going 9 len behind She Within with 131lbs at $10. Before that 7th of 16 at Scone Highway-C3 on May 16 over 1m, 3 len behind Autumn King with 132lbs at $7.50. Covered ground last start and can return to form. 3rd Pick 6 Occult Jockey: Kerrin Mcevoy Trainer: Brett & Georgie Cavanough J: Kerrin Mcevoy T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough	148	-	-	-	5%	20/1
Analysis At the latest run ran second last of 14 at this track Highway-C3 on June 6 over 5 ½f, slow going 9 len behind She Within with 131lbs at $10. Before that 7th of 16 at Scone Highway-C3 on May 16 over 1m, 3 len behind Autumn King with 132lbs at $7.50. Covered ground last start and can return to form.

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