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6:50 AM

AU - Quirindi - Race 7

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
8f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
20.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MELLENCAMP (5) chased gamely into the placings when resuming on the Beaumont and now rises sharply to a pet trip. Yet to win second-up but his track and trip record is hard to ignore. FLAMBOYANT LAD (1) is knocking on the door and has enough early to offset the wide draw, though this is his first look at the mile. If he gets his own way in front he could be tricky to run down. BIG SHORT (7) comes off a decisive BM50 win at Tamworth and is proven at the trip, but he comes from picnic grade into a harder meeting. Keeping safe for a minor spot. ZOU BIG BOY (4) didn't handle the tough conditions last time but is clearly better than that and will appreciate getting back on to firmer footing.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Think Back silk

Comes off the right form line, having won a BM58 at Moree as favourite and beaten Gold Smiles by half a length despite being bumped at the start. Her prior Muswellbrook fifth as a well-supported favourite was only fair, but she has responded since and now gets weight relief with Mikayla Weir back aboard. With two wins and two places from seven starts for this jockey, she sets the clearest winning standard.

1st Pick
6

Think Back

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Scott Singleton

J: Non Runner

T: Scott Singleton

132---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Comes off the right form line, having won a BM58 at Moree as favourite and beaten Gold Smiles by half a length despite being bumped at the start. Her prior Muswellbrook fifth as a well-supported favourite was only fair, but she has responded since and now gets weight relief with Mikayla Weir back aboard. With two wins and two places from seven starts for this jockey, she sets the clearest winning standard.

9
Gold Smiles silk

Chased Think Back at Moree last start and was beaten only half a length in BM58 grade, which ties him directly to the top selection. The run prior at Mudgee was better than fifth reads after he was slow away and held up around the turn. He rises in grade and has yet to place from two tries around 1m, but the 7lbs claim helps and his latest effort puts him right in this.

2nd Pick
9

Gold Smiles

Jockey: Anna Weatherlake

Trainer: Sally Torrens

J: Anna Weatherlake

T: Sally Torrens

73---7%15/1

Analysis

Chased Think Back at Moree last start and was beaten only half a length in BM58 grade, which ties him directly to the top selection. The run prior at Mudgee was better than fifth reads after he was slow away and held up around the turn. He rises in grade and has yet to place from two tries around 1m, but the 7lbs claim helps and his latest effort puts him right in this.

8
Coella silk

Went close in a Class 3 at Coonabarabran last start, finishing second and beaten half a length after having difficulty getting clear in the straight. Her Port Macquarie fifth before that had merit after she began slowly and made ground from the rear. She is proven at this venue from her only try, and that recent Class 3 form makes her a strong winning chance despite a mixed 1m record.

3rd Pick
8

Coella

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Jeremy Sylvester

J: Non Runner

T: Jeremy Sylvester

114---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Went close in a Class 3 at Coonabarabran last start, finishing second and beaten half a length after having difficulty getting clear in the straight. Her Port Macquarie fifth before that had merit after she began slowly and made ground from the rear. She is proven at this venue from her only try, and that recent Class 3 form makes her a strong winning chance despite a mixed 1m record.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.