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3:45 AM

AU - Quirindi - Race 2

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
18.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

GOD'S WINTER ROSE (7) is a Danerich mare on debut for the Smith camp. Showed positive signs in her Beaumont trial performance and Heavelon VDH can have her blending in at the right time from the kind draw. Bright start anticipated. NORDIC STAR (8) looks best of the raced bunch and resumes with two handy trials under her belt that suggest she's come on well during the break. Nock will need to be clever from the wide draw. FROG ROCK (5) just missed when resuming at Muswellbrook, but was no match for them last time. Tough to tip with confidence, but is worth keeping safe for a minor spot. CLARRY'S RUN (1) is another debutant that has shown enough in his two trials to deserve consideration.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
11
Bright Eyed Baby silk

Debuts off the strongest trial signal in the race, winning an easy Beaumont trial last week over 4f. The stable has a healthy debut record with two wins and four placings from eight first starters, which adds substance to that piece of work. Barrier 11 asks her to do things properly under race pressure, but she arrives with the sharpest exposed readiness profile and looks the horse to beat.

1st Pick
11

Bright Eyed Baby

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Jake Hull

J: Non Runner

T: Jake Hull

62---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Debuts off the strongest trial signal in the race, winning an easy Beaumont trial last week over 4f. The stable has a healthy debut record with two wins and four placings from eight first starters, which adds substance to that piece of work. Barrier 11 asks her to do things properly under race pressure, but she arrives with the sharpest exposed readiness profile and looks the horse to beat.

7
God's Winter Rose silk

Makes her debut with a useful piece of trial evidence, having finished a close third at Beaumont over 4f last month. That is a sound platform for a maiden of this depth, and barrier three gives her every chance to be educated kindly on race day. The stable's debut record is modest, so the market may still be important, but her trial profile is good enough to rate as one of the main winning hopes.

2nd Pick
7

God's Winter Rose

Jockey: Heavelon Van Der Hoven

Trainer: Damien Smith

J: Heavelon Van Der Hoven

T: Damien Smith

82---8%12/1

Analysis

Makes her debut with a useful piece of trial evidence, having finished a close third at Beaumont over 4f last month. That is a sound platform for a maiden of this depth, and barrier three gives her every chance to be educated kindly on race day. The stable's debut record is modest, so the market may still be important, but her trial profile is good enough to rate as one of the main winning hopes.

8
Nordic Star silk

Returns from a lengthy spell with two trials behind her, including a latest third at Gosford, so she should have some readiness for this first-up assignment. Her last campaign finished with a fifth at Taree when near the top of betting, and she was also respected at Wyong despite not handling the home turn cleanly. Barrier 13 is the awkward point, but her trial base and prior market profile keep her right in the contest.

3rd Pick
8

Nordic Star

Jockey: Braith Nock

Trainer: James Harding

J: Braith Nock

T: James Harding

77---23%7/2

Analysis

Returns from a lengthy spell with two trials behind her, including a latest third at Gosford, so she should have some readiness for this first-up assignment. Her last campaign finished with a fifth at Taree when near the top of betting, and she was also respected at Wyong despite not handling the home turn cleanly. Barrier 13 is the awkward point, but her trial base and prior market profile keep her right in the contest.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.