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6:10 AM

AU - Queanbeyan - Race 7

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
19.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LOS PADRES (1) has placed in both runs this campaign and looks ready to win after getting within a neck of Centimetre at Illawarra Grange. He rises in weight, but that shows the level of this race and he has the platform to explode third-up. Can land the knockout blow. SOUL LADY (5) is the clear danger after closing from well back for fourth first-up at Canberra at big odds. She is a track-and-trip winner, gets weight relief and the first-time blinkers give her a genuine second-up spark. ARISTOCRAT (8) resumes with useful last-campaign form, including a solid BM66 fourth at Albury and a Hawkesbury run where he was bumped late. The apprentice claim helps, though he has to be sharp fresh at 6f. VIIPURI (6) had excuses when wide at Hawkesbury and his Goulburn win over Felis Chaus keeps him in the mix. CHRISTMAS STAR (4) can return on a positive note.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Los Padres silk

Comes to peak third-up after two strong placings, most recently third at Illawarra Grange in a BM64 when beaten a neck after being slow away and losing gear late. He also charged home from a wide run at Hawkesbury two back. Peaks third-up and looks the one to beat.

1st Pick
1

Los Padres

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter

J: Non Runner

T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter

197---15%

Scratched

Analysis

Comes to peak third-up after two strong placings, most recently third at Illawarra Grange in a BM64 when beaten a neck after being slow away and losing gear late. He also charged home from a wide run at Hawkesbury two back. Peaks third-up and looks the one to beat.

5
Soul Lady silk

Closed off well first-up at Canberra, finishing fourth in a BM65 over 5f and beaten a length and a half after settling well back at big odds. She returns to a proven 6f set-up with three wins at this track and strong wet-track figures. Blinkers go on and she rates a serious danger.

2nd Pick
5

Soul Lady

Jockey: Jess Taylor

Trainer: Joe Cleary

J: Jess Taylor

T: Joe Cleary

150---17%5/1

Analysis

Closed off well first-up at Canberra, finishing fourth in a BM65 over 5f and beaten a length and a half after settling well back at big odds. She returns to a proven 6f set-up with three wins at this track and strong wet-track figures. Blinkers go on and she rates a serious danger.

8
Aristocrat silk

Returns from a lengthy spell after ending last campaign sixth at Hawkesbury in a Class 2, beaten three lengths after being bumped passing the 1f. His earlier Albury fourth in BM66 grade was competitive, leading before being overrun late. Good enough to be a fresh place threat.

3rd Pick
8

Aristocrat

Jockey: Emma Ly

Trainer: Matthew Kelley

J: Emma Ly

T: Matthew Kelley

92---11%17/2

Analysis

Returns from a lengthy spell after ending last campaign sixth at Hawkesbury in a Class 2, beaten three lengths after being bumped passing the 1f. His earlier Albury fourth in BM66 grade was competitive, leading before being overrun late. Good enough to be a fresh place threat.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.