AU - Queanbeyan - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

19.0K

VIEW

Verdict

THE ADIGE (3) brings the most appealing profile after sweeping home to win a CL1 at this track last start, beating Melodia Perfecta by just over half a length. He is third-up, unbeaten from two starts at this venue and has already placed at around 1m, so the rise to a BM58 looks well within range. BIG TIME CHARLIE (2) is the danger if ready fresh, with three wins in the past 12 months, two wins at this track. He does come off a plain final run before the break, but his best is good enough. THE HARD ROAD (5) broke through in a Mdn at this venue as favourite and did it despite being tightened at the 1 ½f, the 1m record is the query, though he has upside. TIDAL RUSH (1) drops out of a BM74 placing at this track and has claims. I DOUBT IT (7) draws the inside and can put her best foot forward.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Finished over the top of them to win a Class 1 at this track last start, beating Melodia Perfecta by just over half a length after travelling well from the rear. That was a decisive rebound from his Moruya run on soft ground, and he now reaches peak fitness third-up. Third-up now and brings the strongest winning profile. 1st Pick 3 The Adige Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Joe Cleary J: Non Runner T: Joe Cleary	122	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Finished over the top of them to win a Class 1 at this track last start, beating Melodia Perfecta by just over half a length after travelling well from the rear. That was a decisive rebound from his Moruya run on soft ground, and he now reaches peak fitness third-up. Third-up now and brings the strongest winning profile.
2	Returns from a five-month break after ending last preparation with a second-last in a BM65 at Canberra Acton, beaten over 10 lengths by Tavijewel when near the top of an open market. His earlier BM55 win there was much better, beating Region Time by two and a half lengths after leading. If forward enough, his best form is right up to winning this. 2nd Pick 2 Big Time Charlie Jockey: Claire Ramsbotham Trainer: Luke Pepper J: Claire Ramsbotham T: Luke Pepper	95	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Returns from a five-month break after ending last preparation with a second-last in a BM65 at Canberra Acton, beaten over 10 lengths by Tavijewel when near the top of an open market. His earlier BM55 win there was much better, beating Region Time by two and a half lengths after leading. If forward enough, his best form is right up to winning this.
5	Broke through in a Mdn at this venue last start, beating Aquilino by just over half a length as favourite despite being tightened near the 1 ½f. That showed more polish than his Illawarra Grange sixth, where he was big odds and only moderate late. Wide draw and 1m are the main tests. 3rd Pick 5 The Hard Road Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Joseph Ible J: Non Runner T: Joseph Ible	108	-	-	-	8%	Scratched
Analysis Broke through in a Mdn at this venue last start, beating Aquilino by just over half a length as favourite despite being tightened near the 1 ½f. That showed more polish than his Illawarra Grange sixth, where he was big odds and only moderate late. Wide draw and 1m are the main tests.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Bug

An apprentice jockey.