AU - Pinjarra - Race 4

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

17.3K

VIEW

Verdict

OCEAN REEF (4) flew home on debut to miss by 0.9L at Belmont when handling the soggy going. The form out of that has already stood up and Carbery sticks with him. He looks suited out in distance now and with the race experience he's gained, he can get the job done. LETS TAKE A CHANCE (6) landed midfield on debut and was solid to the line, missing by 3.2L at Bunbury. He showed good ability there, with more distance and a better barrier both ticks for his chances he appears the main danger. MYSTIC CHAOS (11) was good here last start when sitting handy, ending up 1.8L off the winner at this track and trip. This shapes similarly and another forward showing is on the cards. SPANISH ARMADA (2) was solid on resumption and can feature despite the wide barrier. FIELD MISTRESS (12) is third-up now and can't be left out of calculations.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	At debut, settled towards the rear 2nd of 12 at Belmont Park Mdn on July 1 over 6f, on a wet track, 0.9 len behind Sonic Breeze carrying 128lbs at $18. Looks well placed out in distance today and he can go one better. 1st Pick 4 Ocean Reef Jockey: Patrick Carbery Trainer: Jarrad Humphries J: Patrick Carbery T: Jarrad Humphries	98	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis At debut, settled towards the rear 2nd of 12 at Belmont Park Mdn on July 1 over 6f, on a wet track, 0.9 len behind Sonic Breeze carrying 128lbs at $18. Looks well placed out in distance today and he can go one better.
6	At debut, came from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Bunbury Mdn on June 28 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Ajicito carrying 128lbs at $8. Looks to have some talent and he can get the job done. 2nd Pick 6 Lets Take A Chance Jockey: Lucy Fiore Trainer: Adam Durrant J: Lucy Fiore T: Adam Durrant	121	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis At debut, came from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Bunbury Mdn on June 28 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Ajicito carrying 128lbs at $8. Looks to have some talent and he can get the job done.
11	Racing well recently. At the latest run raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 at this track 3yo Mdn on July 2 over 7f, slow going 1.75 len behind Cosmo Ruler carrying 121lbs at $7. Before that 4th of 12 at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn on June 24 over 7f, 5 len behind Partay with 123lbs at $18. Wouldn't surprise to see her go one better. 3rd Pick 11 Mystic Chaos Jockey: Natasha Faithfull Trainer: Misty Bazeley J: Natasha Faithfull T: Misty Bazeley	172	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 at this track 3yo Mdn on July 2 over 7f, slow going 1.75 len behind Cosmo Ruler carrying 121lbs at $7. Before that 4th of 12 at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn on June 24 over 7f, 5 len behind Partay with 123lbs at $18. Wouldn't surprise to see her go one better.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.