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6:43 AM

AU - Orange - Race 7

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
5f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
19.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BEAUTY EDGE (4) appreciated the drop in class and distance when a comfortable winner over this trip at Dubbo 17 days ago. Speedy customer who might have found his niche at 5f. Can win again. THREEFOLD (15) has been just outside the placings in his two runs this time in work, both in Class 1 sprints over today's journey. Won third-up last prep so expect him to be at his peak for this. DESIROUS (8) made a sustained run from before the corner then cleared out for an impressive win in a similar race to this at Warren last time out. No reason she cannot deliver a similar performance here. CROOK (6) caught the eye in the closing stages when resuming over this distance at Warren recently. Lightly raced mare who will benefit from that hit-out and can feature in the finish. CAN DO IT (5) has outstanding stats here at this trip. Stormed home to finish second at Dubbo last time. Watch for a big final furlong.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Beauty Edge silk

Last start favourite, won by 1.3 len at Dubbo Cl1 November 4 over 5f on a soft track defeating Box Of Crackers carrying 130lbs at $2.40. The start before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 at Narromine Cl1 on October 18 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Hard Too Impress carrying 130lbs at $4.20. Tackles a better race today but can win again.

1st Pick
4

Beauty Edge

Jockey: Jake Pracey-Holmes

Trainer: Clint Lundholm

J: Jake Pracey-Holmes

T: Clint Lundholm

137---16%11/2

Analysis

Last start favourite, won by 1.3 len at Dubbo Cl1 November 4 over 5f on a soft track defeating Box Of Crackers carrying 130lbs at $2.40. The start before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 at Narromine Cl1 on October 18 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Hard Too Impress carrying 130lbs at $4.20. Tackles a better race today but can win again.

15
Threefold silk

Dual acceptor. Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 at Moruya Ctry Cl1 on October 3 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Smashing Lulu with 123lbs at $3. Second run from a spell 4th of 9 at Albury Ctry Cl1 on October 25 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Santolini carrying 129lbs at $5. Won third-up last prep so should be peaking today.

2nd Pick
15

Threefold

Jockey: Unknown Jockey

Trainer: Danielle Seib

J: Unknown Jockey

T: Danielle Seib

112---12%15/2

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 at Moruya Ctry Cl1 on October 3 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Smashing Lulu with 123lbs at $3. Second run from a spell 4th of 9 at Albury Ctry Cl1 on October 25 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Santolini carrying 129lbs at $5. Won third-up last prep so should be peaking today.

8
Desirous silk

At the latest run ran on from midfield and won by 1.4 len at Warren Bm58 November 9 over 5f defeating Emphatic Bel with 122lbs at $9. The run before that raced on the pace before fading to run last of 9 at Muswellbrook Bm58 Cl2+ on November 2 over 5f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Navy Steel with 125lbs at $51. Turned things around last start and might be worth following.

3rd Pick
8

Desirous

Jockey: Mikayla Weir

Trainer: Ross Lomax

J: Mikayla Weir

T: Ross Lomax

120---10%10/1

Analysis

At the latest run ran on from midfield and won by 1.4 len at Warren Bm58 November 9 over 5f defeating Emphatic Bel with 122lbs at $9. The run before that raced on the pace before fading to run last of 9 at Muswellbrook Bm58 Cl2+ on November 2 over 5f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Navy Steel with 125lbs at $51. Turned things around last start and might be worth following.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.