AU - Orange - Race 6

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

35.7K

VIEW

Verdict

DARK THINKER (9) stepped up to 1 ¹/16m at Wellington last Friday and after racing up on the speed held on well to finish second in a Class 1. Has raced six times over the mile for five minor placings. This isn't the strongest race so that sound recent form should stand up well. CROWN LEGEND (2) settled back in the field before making some late inroads in a BM66 over 7f at Mudgee last time out. Back in class today and will appreciate the extra 1f. Big chance with a soft run assured out of gate one. TAKE THE CHANCE (7) backs up five days after finishing a close second over 1 ¹/16m at Wellington. Stable must be pleased with how she pulled up so is worth following. LAGOON (8) went around in the same race as Take The Chance at Wellington last Sunday but was beaten comfortably. Suitably placed back at the mile so she can improve sharply. RAILWAY AVENUE (4) ran a far better race at Cowra last start. The 39-day gap between runs is a concern though.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Racing well recently. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Wellington Cl1-Sw on April 10 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 1.4 len behind Casterly Rock with 121lbs at $3.60. The race before that crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 4th of 14 at this track Ctry Cl2 on March 22 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Ishikari carrying 118lbs at $26. This is a great chance to garb a well-deserved win. 1st Pick 9 Dark Thinker Jockey: Louise Day Trainer: Alison Smith J: Louise Day T: Alison Smith	114	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Wellington Cl1-Sw on April 10 over 1 ¹/16m, slow going 1.4 len behind Casterly Rock with 121lbs at $3.60. The race before that crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 4th of 14 at this track Ctry Cl2 on March 22 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Ishikari carrying 118lbs at $26. This is a great chance to garb a well-deserved win.
2	Most recently 7th of 14 at Mudgee Ctry Bm66 on April 5 over 7f, 4 len behind Midnight Luna carrying 127lbs at $7.50. Before that 4th of 9 at Dubbo Bm 66 Hcp on March 15 over 1m, 5 len behind Green Run with 128lbs at $3.60. Down in class and can improve with the aid of the inside gate. 2nd Pick 2 Crown Legend Jockey: Jacob Stiff Trainer: Mack Griffith J: Jacob Stiff T: Mack Griffith	145	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Most recently 7th of 14 at Mudgee Ctry Bm66 on April 5 over 7f, 4 len behind Midnight Luna carrying 127lbs at $7.50. Before that 4th of 9 at Dubbo Bm 66 Hcp on March 15 over 1m, 5 len behind Green Run with 128lbs at $3.60. Down in class and can improve with the aid of the inside gate.
7	At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Wellington Bm58 on April 12 over 1 ¹/16m, 0.5 len behind Egyptologist with 127lbs at $4.20. The start before that raced on the pace before fading second last of 13 at Canberra Bm55 on March 25 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 10 len behind Awesome Artist with 131lbs at $9. Back in form and is a chance on the five-day turnaround. 3rd Pick 7 Take The Chance Jockey: Ken Dunbar Trainer: Michael C Lynch J: Ken Dunbar T: Michael C Lynch	118	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Wellington Bm58 on April 12 over 1 ¹/16m, 0.5 len behind Egyptologist with 127lbs at $4.20. The start before that raced on the pace before fading second last of 13 at Canberra Bm55 on March 25 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 10 len behind Awesome Artist with 131lbs at $9. Back in form and is a chance on the five-day turnaround.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.