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4:45 AM

AU - Orange - Race 4

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
6.4f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
19.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BASTION (8) has been in the betting at all four runs to date but only hit her straps last start, leading for much of the way before finding one better over 7 ¼f at Queanbeyan. Drawn to enjoy the perfect run and in a modest affair can go one better. MARY LE BONE (3) has not raced since holding on well for third over 7 ¼f at Queanbeyan back on 12 October. Has had plenty of chances but her form stacks up better than most in this line-up. STREET SKATER (4) did a good job to hang on for third in an unsuitably short 4 ½f scamper at Coonabarabran recently. That was his first run for nine weeks so there is plenty of improvement in store. VASTLY (6) is a Press Statement four-year-old on debut for the Brett Robb stable. Best of three trials was the latest at Dubbo when edged out. Betting holds the key. ROSIE I AM (11) is a chance if she finds the form that saw her finish second over 6f at Bathurst two runs back.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Bastion silk

Last start set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 9 at Queanbeyan Ctry Mdn-Sw on November 11 over 7 ¼f, long-neck behind Tis No Man with 127lbs at $5.50. The run before that sat on the pace before fading to run last of 8 at Sapphire Coast Mdn on October 30 over 1m, 6 len behind Pretty Please with 126lbs at $6.50. Nice effort last time. Starting to put it together and is good enough to win this.

1st Pick
8

Bastion

Jockey: Pierre Boudvillain

Trainer: Danielle Seib

J: Pierre Boudvillain

T: Danielle Seib

225---35%15/8

Analysis

Last start set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 9 at Queanbeyan Ctry Mdn-Sw on November 11 over 7 ¼f, long-neck behind Tis No Man with 127lbs at $5.50. The run before that sat on the pace before fading to run last of 8 at Sapphire Coast Mdn on October 30 over 1m, 6 len behind Pretty Please with 126lbs at $6.50. Nice effort last time. Starting to put it together and is good enough to win this.

3
Mary Le Bone silk

Comes here off a 40-day let-up. Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at Queanbeyan Ctry Mdn on October 12 over 7 ¼f, 2 len behind One More Bout with 128lbs at $7. Before that raced on the speed throughout before fading to run last of 10 at Cootamundra Ctry Mdn-Sw on October 5 over 7f, 8 len behind Doubtfree with 123lbs at $16. Freshened up since that encouraging effort last time and is a definite threat.

2nd Pick
3

Mary Le Bone

Jockey: Jake Pracey-Holmes

Trainer: Bill Hayes

J: Jake Pracey-Holmes

T: Bill Hayes

109---4%25/1

Analysis

Comes here off a 40-day let-up. Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at Queanbeyan Ctry Mdn on October 12 over 7 ¼f, 2 len behind One More Bout with 128lbs at $7. Before that raced on the speed throughout before fading to run last of 10 at Cootamundra Ctry Mdn-Sw on October 5 over 7f, 8 len behind Doubtfree with 123lbs at $16. Freshened up since that encouraging effort last time and is a definite threat.

4
Street Skater silk

Second run back. First-up after two months 3rd of 10 at Coonabarabran Ctry Mdn-Sw on October 26 over 4 ½f, 3.5 len behind Supreme Style with 130lbs at $10. Previously second-up 5th of 12 at Narromine Ctry Mdn on August 24 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Mere Mortal carrying 130lbs at $3.50. Fitter and worth following up.

3rd Pick
4

Street Skater

Jockey: Wendy Peel

Trainer: Stephen Edwards

J: Wendy Peel

T: Stephen Edwards

88---29%5/2

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after two months 3rd of 10 at Coonabarabran Ctry Mdn-Sw on October 26 over 4 ½f, 3.5 len behind Supreme Style with 130lbs at $10. Previously second-up 5th of 12 at Narromine Ctry Mdn on August 24 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Mere Mortal carrying 130lbs at $3.50. Fitter and worth following up.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.