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4:35 AM

AU - Orange - Race 4

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
6.4f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
35.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FLYING PARTY (1) lined up for just the second time last start and improved sharply, beaten narrowly over 7f at Nowra. Hard to tell if a bog track helped on that occasion but he deserves the benefit of the doubt. Open to further improvement and is in the right race to break the ice. FLEE WITH ME (9) has been freshened up since being beaten under two lengths over 7f at Dubbo back on 15 March. Gets in with 4kgs less today after the claim which brings him right into contention. A WOMAN SCORNED (5) is yet to beat a runner home in two appearances but hasn't been more than four lengths adrift. Both of those runs came at the provincials so this will prove far easier. Can surprise. THE MAGNET (7) caught the eye at the end of 5 ½f at Mudgee recently. Very fit and this longer trip will suit. INYUN (2) is back from a 15-week spell. Beaten a whisker here over 7f last prep. Should be ready to run well.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Flying Party silk

Raced twice to date. At long odds at debut, 3rd of 10 at Goulburn Mdn-Sw on March 10 over 7f, on a slow track, 8 len behind Buckeye with 129lbs at $41. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at Nowra Mdn on April 5 over 7f, on a wet track, head behind Stellar Rhonda with 129lbs at $10. Has plenty of upside and looks sure to feature.

1st Pick
1

Flying Party

Jockey: Clayton Gallagher

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Clayton Gallagher

T: Ciaron Maher

192---39%13/8

Analysis

Raced twice to date. At long odds at debut, 3rd of 10 at Goulburn Mdn-Sw on March 10 over 7f, on a slow track, 8 len behind Buckeye with 129lbs at $41. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at Nowra Mdn on April 5 over 7f, on a wet track, head behind Stellar Rhonda with 129lbs at $10. Has plenty of upside and looks sure to feature.

9
Flee With Me silk

Comes here off a 33-day let-up. Most recently from last on the turn 7th of 12 at Dubbo Ctry Mdn-Sw on March 15 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Narmer with 126lbs at $21. Before that 6th of 13 at Dubbo Super Mdn on March 6 over 6 ½f, 1.75 len behind Be Guided with 121lbs at $31. Hasn't been far away of late - keep him very safe.

2nd Pick
9

Flee With Me

Jockey: Jacob Stiff

Trainer: Jane Clement

J: Jacob Stiff

T: Jane Clement

132---2%60/1

Analysis

Comes here off a 33-day let-up. Most recently from last on the turn 7th of 12 at Dubbo Ctry Mdn-Sw on March 15 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Narmer with 126lbs at $21. Before that 6th of 13 at Dubbo Super Mdn on March 6 over 6 ½f, 1.75 len behind Be Guided with 121lbs at $31. Hasn't been far away of late - keep him very safe.

5
A Woman Scorned silk

Third race start today. At debut, ran last in a small field at Kembla Grange Mdn-Sw on March 3 over 5f, on heavy track, 4 len behind Button Up with 126lbs at $21. Last start raced on the pace before fading to run last of 7 at Gosford Super Mdn-Sw on April 2 over 6f, 4 len behind Maidoff with 122lbs at $71. Big chance to make an impression dropping back to a country maiden.

3rd Pick
5

A Woman Scorned

Jockey: Mikayla Weir

Trainer: Gary Portelli

J: Mikayla Weir

T: Gary Portelli

82---5%20/1

Analysis

Third race start today. At debut, ran last in a small field at Kembla Grange Mdn-Sw on March 3 over 5f, on heavy track, 4 len behind Button Up with 126lbs at $21. Last start raced on the pace before fading to run last of 7 at Gosford Super Mdn-Sw on April 2 over 6f, 4 len behind Maidoff with 122lbs at $71. Big chance to make an impression dropping back to a country maiden.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.