AU - Orange - Race 1

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

17.4K

VIEW

Verdict

Maidens don't come a lot weaker than this which means WHAT A GENT (8) is a tremendous chance to open the account. Very good two back when beaten under a length over the mile at Dubbo in a Class 1. Went poorly at Wyong on Sunday but the five-day back-up is a good sign from the stable. Should be too good if on-song. CONVERSATIONS (4) is a 43-start maiden who has been in the money at the last four appearances. Battled on fairly for a distant third last time out over 7f at Warren. Likely to be about the money again. THE BENTLEY (1) wasn't beaten far in a strong form race over 7 ½f at Port Macquarie two back. Didn't run a strong 1 ¼m last time and has been freshened since. Capable of playing a big role. NORTOKO (6) has been struggling and is not proven at the trip, but the addition of blinkers for the first time may have some effect. BROADCAST BOOGIE (3) is finding the line well and should enjoy getting to this distance for the first time.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Last start ran last of 7 at Wyong Mid Mdn-Sw on November 16 over 1m, 18 len behind Polo with 130lbs at $21. The run before that gave a sight but was run down late 3rd of 8 at Dubbo Cl1-Sw on November 1 over 1m, 0.7 len behind Brutal Elegance carrying 125lbs at $10. Terrific chance to break through in a very soft maiden. 1st Pick 8 What A Gent Jockey: Donovan Dillon Trainer: Tracey Bartley J: Donovan Dillon T: Tracey Bartley	228	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Last start ran last of 7 at Wyong Mid Mdn-Sw on November 16 over 1m, 18 len behind Polo with 130lbs at $21. The run before that gave a sight but was run down late 3rd of 8 at Dubbo Cl1-Sw on November 1 over 1m, 0.7 len behind Brutal Elegance carrying 125lbs at $10. Terrific chance to break through in a very soft maiden.
4	Last start came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Warren Mdn on November 9 over 7f, 6 len behind Yiasou carrying 127lbs at $31. The run before that 2nd in a small field at Mudgee Mdn-Sw on October 25 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Spirit Of Saintly with 130lbs at $2.50. Doesn't need to improve a great deal to take this out. 2nd Pick 4 Conversations Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: David J Smith J: Non Runner T: David J Smith	101	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis Last start came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Warren Mdn on November 9 over 7f, 6 len behind Yiasou carrying 127lbs at $31. The run before that 2nd in a small field at Mudgee Mdn-Sw on October 25 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Spirit Of Saintly with 130lbs at $2.50. Doesn't need to improve a great deal to take this out.
1	Comes off a 35 day let-up. Most recently 5th of 8 at Taree Cl1-Sw on October 17 over 1 ¼m, 11 len behind Queen Tavane carrying 125lbs at $5.50. Before that 6th of 12 at Port Macquarie Super Mdn-Sw on September 28 over 7 ½f, 2 len behind The Warrior carrying 127lbs at $11. Made headway last time. Fitter now and on his day is better than most of these. 3rd Pick 1 The Bentley Jockey: Unknown Jockey Trainer: Connie Greig J: Unknown Jockey T: Connie Greig	105	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Comes off a 35 day let-up. Most recently 5th of 8 at Taree Cl1-Sw on October 17 over 1 ¼m, 11 len behind Queen Tavane carrying 125lbs at $5.50. Before that 6th of 12 at Port Macquarie Super Mdn-Sw on September 28 over 7 ½f, 2 len behind The Warrior carrying 127lbs at $11. Made headway last time. Fitter now and on his day is better than most of these.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

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Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.