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Resulted

AU - Orange - Race 1

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
5f
Maiden
Turf
HEAVY 10
21.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LADY GIOVANNA (7) has transferred from Waller to Dean Mirfin and is back after a five-month spell. Opened the maiden prep with a close fourth over 6 ¼f at Newcastle then failed at Kembla before being turned out. Opening this prep over a sharper journey. Might be too good for this moderate field. MISHPAT (8) showed her customary speed again last start to lead for the judge but was a spent force soon after in a 6 ?f Cowra maiden. Back in trip in a less competitive race so she might give some cheek. FORTIANS (1) made up a stack of late ground to finish a close second over this trip at Dubbo last Monday. Has had plenty of chances but that effort seven days ago was encouraging. FRENCH HARP (3) has been just behind the placegetters at both runs this prep, but that is her habit after 20 runs. Exotics inclusion. JUST JOAN (4) ran a better race at Dubbo last start and is also in the trifecta and first four picture.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Lady Giovanna silk

Resuming after a five months break. Finished off last preparation seventh of 12 at Kembla Grange Super Mdn September 18 over 7 ½f, 5.5 len behind Reflect carrying 121lbs at $4.60. On debut fourth of 11 at Newcastle Super Mdn August 26 over 6 ¼f, on rain affected going, 1.5 len behind Amaretto Bo carrying 121lbs at $14. Expecting a bright return.

1st Pick
7

Lady Giovanna

Jockey: Zac Wadick

Trainer: Dean Mirfin

J: Zac Wadick

T: Dean Mirfin

120---58%

Analysis

Resuming after a five months break. Finished off last preparation seventh of 12 at Kembla Grange Super Mdn September 18 over 7 ½f, 5.5 len behind Reflect carrying 121lbs at $4.60. On debut fourth of 11 at Newcastle Super Mdn August 26 over 6 ¼f, on rain affected going, 1.5 len behind Amaretto Bo carrying 121lbs at $14. Expecting a bright return.

8
Mishpat silk

At the latest run led to the turn then faded 6th of 10 at Cowra Super Mdn-Sw on January 18 over 6f, 6 len behind Alabama Hussy with 122lbs at $201. The start before that 4th of 7 at Parkes Mdn-Sw on January 9 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Fierce Luva with 123lbs at $7. Not a great draw again but represents a major threat.

2nd Pick
8

Mishpat

Jockey: Olivia Chambers

Trainer: Dean Mirfin

J: Olivia Chambers

T: Dean Mirfin

90---7%

Analysis

At the latest run led to the turn then faded 6th of 10 at Cowra Super Mdn-Sw on January 18 over 6f, 6 len behind Alabama Hussy with 122lbs at $201. The start before that 4th of 7 at Parkes Mdn-Sw on January 9 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Fierce Luva with 123lbs at $7. Not a great draw again but represents a major threat.

1
Fortians silk

Third-up today. Resuming 4th of 11 at this track Ctry Mdn on January 6 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Outlaw Annie with 121lbs at $41. Second-up 2nd of 9 at Dubbo Ctry Mdn-Sw on February 2 over 5f, head behind Baron Of Butter carrying 130lbs at $12. Fitter now and making headway. Ready to peak at the third run back.

3rd Pick
1

Fortians

Jockey: Jake Pracey-Holmes

Trainer: Bob Howe

J: Jake Pracey-Holmes

T: Bob Howe

117---13%

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming 4th of 11 at this track Ctry Mdn on January 6 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Outlaw Annie with 121lbs at $41. Second-up 2nd of 9 at Dubbo Ctry Mdn-Sw on February 2 over 5f, head behind Baron Of Butter carrying 130lbs at $12. Fitter now and making headway. Ready to peak at the third run back.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.