AU - Northam - Race 9

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

105.2K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

ABERDEEN FLYER (8) has the right profile to take beating after resuming with a close second to Without Reg at Ascot, where he was sent out favourite and beaten just over half a length. His Listed record is already strong, Chris Parnham stays with him and the 1m is another plus. ROYAL TORONADO (3) brings the deeper current form, having run second in the Listed Farnley Stakes before finishing third as favourite in a BM84+ at Belmont and his two wins from two starts at this venue read well. MEMORY PARADE (10) is a sharper chance than her last-start eighth suggests after blundering and being hampered at Ascot, with her prior BM84+ fourth keeping her in the mix. OLY'S CHOICE (5) is flying and comes off a BM72+ win over Silent Diva at Ascot, gets weight relief and has an excellent 1m record. He has to be respected on the quick back up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
8	Resumed with a strong second in a BM78+ at Ascot, beaten just over half a length by Without Reg after starting favourite and working home evenly on soft ground. He has the Listed credentials and an excellent record with Chris Parnham, while the G2 WATC Derby run last campaign underlines his quality. Brings the best winning profile and looks the one to beat. 1st Pick 8 Aberdeen Flyer Jockey: Chris Parnham Trainer: Sean & Jake Casey J: Chris Parnham T: Sean & Jake Casey	130	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Resumed with a strong second in a BM78+ at Ascot, beaten just over half a length by Without Reg after starting favourite and working home evenly on soft ground. He has the Listed credentials and an excellent record with Chris Parnham, while the G2 WATC Derby run last campaign underlines his quality. Brings the best winning profile and looks the one to beat.
3	Returns from a five-week freshening after a one-length third in a BM84+ at Belmont Park, where he was well-supported favourite and finished strongly despite getting on heels near the 1f. He had earlier been pipped in the Listed Farnley Stakes behind Too Dardy. Looks a major threat if he brings that finish again. 2nd Pick 3 Royal Toronado Jockey: Lucy Fiore Trainer: Jason Pateman J: Lucy Fiore T: Jason Pateman	132	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Returns from a five-week freshening after a one-length third in a BM84+ at Belmont Park, where he was well-supported favourite and finished strongly despite getting on heels near the 1f. He had earlier been pipped in the Listed Farnley Stakes behind Too Dardy. Looks a major threat if he brings that finish again.
10	Had legitimate excuses when eighth in a BM66+ at Ascot last start, blundering near the 5f and then being hampered around the turn before finishing just over four lengths away. Her previous fourth in a BM84+ at Belmont Park, beaten just over a length, is the better reference. Weight relief keeps her right in play. 3rd Pick 10 Memory Parade Jockey: Natasha Faithfull Trainer: Sean & Jake Casey J: Natasha Faithfull T: Sean & Jake Casey	99	-	-	-	6%
Analysis Had legitimate excuses when eighth in a BM66+ at Ascot last start, blundering near the 5f and then being hampered around the turn before finishing just over four lengths away. Her previous fourth in a BM84+ at Belmont Park, beaten just over a length, is the better reference. Weight relief keeps her right in play.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.