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Resulted

AU - Northam - Race 3

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
17.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MY TESTIMONY (5) lands here as the one to beat on resumption following some solid efforts in defeat to end last campaign. Her latest trial suggests she's not gone backwards in the break and she's still open to plenty of improvement. Will need some luck from the draw, but she finds a winnable race and can return on a winning note. INCREDIBLE MR FOX (7) will find this easier than what he's been racing in, dropping back from the midweeks to this race. Pike's booking is a big push for his chances and with the visors going on, he can make a statement. FLASH OF FINA (9) has impressed in both trials this time in and the inside draw is a big push for his chances. Should get every chance with no weight on his back to fire on debut. MISS PROFLIGACY (11) is another debutant with a genuine chance after a close Belmont trial second. Has shown enough to suggest she has some ability. CACHACA (2) can improve coming in trip and with the fresh run out of the way.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
My Testimony silk

Returns from a lengthy spell with a Lark Hill trial win behind her, which is a strong readiness pointer for a mare who finished last campaign with three straight placings. She was third to Mandible Magic at Ascot when near the top of betting, after another third behind Dancewithme at Belmont Park where she led and kept giving. Nice trial coming in and the gear changes hint at her being a more mature commodity this time in.

1st Pick
5

My Testimony

Jockey: Chanel Cooper

Trainer: Tiarnna Noske

J: Chanel Cooper

T: Tiarnna Noske

88---20%

Analysis

Returns from a lengthy spell with a Lark Hill trial win behind her, which is a strong readiness pointer for a mare who finished last campaign with three straight placings. She was third to Mandible Magic at Ascot when near the top of betting, after another third behind Dancewithme at Belmont Park where she led and kept giving. Nice trial coming in and the gear changes hint at her being a more mature commodity this time in.

7
Incredible Mr Fox silk

Finished last when resuming in a 3yo NMW1Y at Belmont Park, but the margin was only two and a half lengths and he now gets meaningful weight relief into maiden grade. His debut was in the Listed Supremacy Stakes at Ascot, where he was outclassed at long odds, so this is a much more suitable assignment. Will find this easier than what he raced in last start and Pike's booking is a big push for his chances.

2nd Pick
7

Incredible Mr Fox

Jockey: William Pike

Trainer: David Harrison

J: William Pike

T: David Harrison

159---23%

Analysis

Finished last when resuming in a 3yo NMW1Y at Belmont Park, but the margin was only two and a half lengths and he now gets meaningful weight relief into maiden grade. His debut was in the Listed Supremacy Stakes at Ascot, where he was outclassed at long odds, so this is a much more suitable assignment. Will find this easier than what he raced in last start and Pike's booking is a big push for his chances.

9
Flash Of Fina silk

Debuts with a clean trial profile, winning a 2f Lark Hill hit-out before taking a 4 ¾f trial there by 1.76 lengths two weeks ago. Barrier one and the 4lbs claim are useful advantages for a first starter, and the stable has several runners on the card. Recent trials have been superb and the inside draw should see him get every chance to translate that form to raceday.

3rd Pick
9

Flash Of Fina

Jockey: Jefferson Tsang

Trainer: Ryan Hill

J: Jefferson Tsang

T: Ryan Hill

55---23%

Analysis

Debuts with a clean trial profile, winning a 2f Lark Hill hit-out before taking a 4 ¾f trial there by 1.76 lengths two weeks ago. Barrier one and the 4lbs claim are useful advantages for a first starter, and the stable has several runners on the card. Recent trials have been superb and the inside draw should see him get every chance to translate that form to raceday.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.