AU - Narrogin - Race 3

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

8.5f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 3

11.1K

VIEW

Verdict

YALDA NIGHT (1) was trending the right way before a disappointing performance when out to 1 ?m as Ascot last time out. The winner there was very impressive however, with the margin looking worse than Yalda Night's run really was. Easier here and can take closer order from an inside alley. Looks the one to beat. ROSENTREA (2) came back to a similar race last start and only just missed out on victory, beaten in a photo over 7 ½f. Back out in trip looks ideal for her now and she can be prominent from the inside alley. 4lbs claim comes in handy and she's the main danger. SAUCISSON (8) rattled home last start over 7 ½f and looks suited by the rise in trip today. Can improve on that performance out in trip and he's expected to make his presence felt. IFFUBLUSH (11) has trialled since her latest effort and coming back in trip may hold the key. OPAL NERO (5) is not out of this.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	At the latest run eased back early on 5th of 10 at Ascot Mdn on November 4 over 1m, 6 len behind Masmelo carrying 121lbs at $26. The race before that 4th of 16 at Belmont Park Mdn on October 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Streamlined carrying 121lbs at $61. Looks well placed back to this grade and can land the knockout blow. 1st Pick 1 Yalda Night Jockey: Zephen Johnston-Porter Trainer: Matthew Scott J: Zephen Johnston-Porter T: Matthew Scott	88	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis At the latest run eased back early on 5th of 10 at Ascot Mdn on November 4 over 1m, 6 len behind Masmelo carrying 121lbs at $26. The race before that 4th of 16 at Belmont Park Mdn on October 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Streamlined carrying 121lbs at $61. Looks well placed back to this grade and can land the knockout blow.
2	Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at York on November 9 over 7 ½f, nose behind Dominant Force carrying 121lbs at $5. The start before that 6th of 13 at Northam Mdn on October 30 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Berry Blast carrying 117lbs at $9. Just missed last start and can go one better out in trip. 2nd Pick 2 Rosentrea Jockey: Holly Nottle Trainer: Takahide Ikenushi J: Holly Nottle T: Takahide Ikenushi	142	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at York on November 9 over 7 ½f, nose behind Dominant Force carrying 121lbs at $5. The start before that 6th of 13 at Northam Mdn on October 30 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Berry Blast carrying 117lbs at $9. Just missed last start and can go one better out in trip.
8	Most recently came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 11 at York on November 9 over 7 ½f, head behind Dominant Force with 121lbs at $31. The start before that 10th of 12 at Northam Cl1 on October 26 over 6 ½f, 10 len behind Think Pink Daze with 119lbs at $81. Made headway last time. Better run last start and he can improve again out in trip. 3rd Pick 8 Saucisson Jockey: Brandon Louis Trainer: Keri D'orsogna J: Brandon Louis T: Keri D'orsogna	128	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Most recently came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 11 at York on November 9 over 7 ½f, head behind Dominant Force with 121lbs at $31. The start before that 10th of 12 at Northam Cl1 on October 26 over 6 ½f, 10 len behind Think Pink Daze with 119lbs at $81. Made headway last time. Better run last start and he can improve again out in trip.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

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