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5:57 AM

AU - Narrogin - Race 2

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
5.5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 3
11.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

RACY RASCAL (7) looks the one to beat on debut following a trial win recently at Lark Hill. Faithfull was on board for that effort and she sticks with the gelding today, striking at 20% when she rides for Dan & Ben Pearce. Most of the exposed form looks iffy, so he makes plenty of appeal. LONGTIMEBELIEVER (8) resumes today with a handy trial under her belt at Lark Hill. She was knocking on the door last campaign in similar maidens to this when taking up the running. She'll need some luck from the gate, but if she can run up to her trial performance then she'll be hard to hold out. ABSTRACTED (4) was only 1.8L off the winner at Geraldton last time and now gets the tongue tie applied for the first time. She should be prominent from the draw and she'll be tough to reel in with the 4lbs claim of Nottle. HALF TIME SIREN (2) comes from a strong family and has to be included on debut. MANTA RAY BAY (5) is next best.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Racy Rascal silk

Three-year-old gelding (Pariah - Racy Ava). He has four recent trials prior to his debut today. Won his most recent trial at Lark Hill over 4 ¾f on November 3. Promising type who can make a winning start to his career.

1st Pick
7

Racy Rascal

Jockey: Natasha Faithfull

Trainer: Daniel & Ben Pearce

J: Natasha Faithfull

T: Daniel & Ben Pearce

80---29%5/2

Analysis

Three-year-old gelding (Pariah - Racy Ava). He has four recent trials prior to his debut today. Won his most recent trial at Lark Hill over 4 ¾f on November 3. Promising type who can make a winning start to his career.

8
Longtimebeliever silk

Resumes. Finished off last campaign fourth of 9 at Bunbury All Weather Mdn July 17 over 4 ¾f, 2 len behind Global Trip with 117lbs at $12. When resuming last campaign eighth of 10 at this track Mdn Hcp 46+ March 30 over 6f, soft track, 13 len behind Cheryl's Shout carrying 117lbs at $5. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Can put her best foot forward on resumption.

2nd Pick
8

Longtimebeliever

Jockey: Laqdar Ramoly

Trainer: Paul Roberts

J: Laqdar Ramoly

T: Paul Roberts

85---12%15/2

Analysis

Resumes. Finished off last campaign fourth of 9 at Bunbury All Weather Mdn July 17 over 4 ¾f, 2 len behind Global Trip with 117lbs at $12. When resuming last campaign eighth of 10 at this track Mdn Hcp 46+ March 30 over 6f, soft track, 13 len behind Cheryl's Shout carrying 117lbs at $5. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Can put her best foot forward on resumption.

4
Abstracted silk

Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Geraldton Mdn on October 23 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Truly Gallant with 123lbs at $4.40. The race before that 5th of 11 at Northam Mdn on October 8 over 7f, 3 len behind Hoya Destroyer with 123lbs at $61. Right in this on what she did last time out.

3rd Pick
4

Abstracted

Jockey: Holly Nottle

Trainer: Jayson Hines

J: Holly Nottle

T: Jayson Hines

112---15%6/1

Analysis

Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Geraldton Mdn on October 23 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Truly Gallant with 123lbs at $4.40. The race before that 5th of 11 at Northam Mdn on October 8 over 7f, 3 len behind Hoya Destroyer with 123lbs at $61. Right in this on what she did last time out.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.