GB - Kempton Park - Race 1

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Handicap

Synthetic

Standard / Slow

8.0K

VIEW

Verdict

No shortage of chances in an open-looking contest but Dylan Cunha's YA HABIBTI shaped better than the distance beaten suggests on her qualifying run at Newcastle 3 weeks ago and, promising to do better still now handicapping, not least if settling better, she could be the answer. Espona Bay back from a break under Oisin Murphy, Filly Foden and Copperfield are others to consider. Reality Queen isn't out of things either.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Thrice-raced maiden. 7/1, shaped better than the distance beaten suggests when fourth of 13 in maiden at Newcastle (6f) 19 days ago, likely to have gone close had she settled/been held onto for longer. One to note now attentions switch to handicaps. 1st Pick 7 Ya Habibti Jockey: George Wood Trainer: Dylan Cunha J: George Wood T: Dylan Cunha	93	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Thrice-raced maiden. 7/1, shaped better than the distance beaten suggests when fourth of 13 in maiden at Newcastle (6f) 19 days ago, likely to have gone close had she settled/been held onto for longer. One to note now attentions switch to handicaps.
2	Son of New Bay who cast aside a below-par showing following a gelding operation when second of 12 in a C&D nursery back in October. That form worked out well and likely he will have more to offer back from a break for all his draw could have been kinder. 2nd Pick 2 Espona Bay (Ire) Jockey: Oisin Murphy Trainer: Michael Bell J: Oisin Murphy T: Michael Bell	97	-	-	-	23%	Scratched
Analysis Son of New Bay who cast aside a below-par showing following a gelding operation when second of 12 in a C&D nursery back in October. That form worked out well and likely he will have more to offer back from a break for all his draw could have been kinder.
6	Winless during a busy 2-y-o campaign but she ended her time with Alice Haynes in good order, posting a creditable second of 7 in nursery at Chelmsford City (5f) 34 days ago, that despite racing keenly early on. Respected starting out for new yard back at 6f. 3rd Pick 6 Filly Foden (Ire) Jockey: Lewis Edmunds Trainer: Rod Millman J: Lewis Edmunds T: Rod Millman	100	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Winless during a busy 2-y-o campaign but she ended her time with Alice Haynes in good order, posting a creditable second of 7 in nursery at Chelmsford City (5f) 34 days ago, that despite racing keenly early on. Respected starting out for new yard back at 6f.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race