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8:10 PM

GB - Kempton Park - Race 9

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
11f
Handicap
Synthetic
Standard / Slow
16.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Several of the 3-y-os are likely to come to the fore here, with MISS TONNERRE an appealing option from a value standpoint. It's fair to say that she has proved rather disappointing this year, but the handicapper has given her a chance and perhaps the combination of new headgear and the switch to this surface will help reinvigorate the filly. Hinchinbrooke is feared most, but Blast The Dream and Just Keep Flying are also accorded plenty of respect in what looks a competitive heat.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Miss Tonnerre (Ire) silk

33/1, 11½ lengths tenth of 11 to Running Lion in listed race at Yarmouth (10.1f, soft) 63 days ago. Hood enlisted for this AW debut and, having been given a chance by the handicapper, she's dangerous to discount.

1st Pick
1

Miss Tonnerre (Ire)

Jockey: George Downing

Trainer: Ed Walker

J: George Downing

T: Ed Walker

97---10%10/1

Analysis

33/1, 11½ lengths tenth of 11 to Running Lion in listed race at Yarmouth (10.1f, soft) 63 days ago. Hood enlisted for this AW debut and, having been given a chance by the handicapper, she's dangerous to discount.

12
Hinchinbrooke silk

Respectable second of 14 in handicap (9/2) at Yarmouth (10.1f, good) 29 days ago. Appears to be heading back in the right direction and he's one for the shortlist.

2nd Pick
12

Hinchinbrooke

Jockey: Kevin Stott

Trainer: Jane Chapple-Hyam

J: Kevin Stott

T: Jane Chapple-Hyam

98---12%8/1

Analysis

Respectable second of 14 in handicap (9/2) at Yarmouth (10.1f, good) 29 days ago. Appears to be heading back in the right direction and he's one for the shortlist.

9
Blast The Dream silk

Eighth of 9 in handicap at this C&D (10/3) 37 days ago. Hard to put forward a logical reason for that low-key display, but the Oasis Dream was knocking on the door prior to that and should perhaps be given the benefit of the doubt for now.

3rd Pick
9

Blast The Dream

Jockey: Aidan Keeley

Trainer: Roger Varian

J: Aidan Keeley

T: Roger Varian

100---10%10/1

Analysis

Eighth of 9 in handicap at this C&D (10/3) 37 days ago. Hard to put forward a logical reason for that low-key display, but the Oasis Dream was knocking on the door prior to that and should perhaps be given the benefit of the doubt for now.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.