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4:08 PM

GB - Kempton Park - Race 7

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
7f
Handicap
Synthetic
Standard / Slow
11.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

PARTY BEAR's AW record is generally a positive one and sure to strip fitter with her return from 6 months off under her belt, she looks the answer. I'm Workin On It and Lerwick have had contrasting fortune in the draw department, with the former expected to emerge as the chief threat.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Party Bear (Ire) silk

11/2, shaped as though needing the run when sixth of 10 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f) 16 days ago. Cheekpieces on first time and expected to run much closer to form this time.

1st Pick
5

Party Bear (Ire)

Jockey: Pierre-Louis Jamin

Trainer: K. R. Burke

J: Pierre-Louis Jamin

T: K. R. Burke

100---13%7/1

Analysis

11/2, shaped as though needing the run when sixth of 10 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f) 16 days ago. Cheekpieces on first time and expected to run much closer to form this time.

1
I'm Workin On It silk

C&D winner. Winner here in August. 9/2, good second of 9 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f) 22 days ago. Nudged up 1 lb but is well drawn to attack.

2nd Pick
1

I'm Workin On It

Jockey: Lewis Edmunds

Trainer: Rod Millman

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: Rod Millman

97---25%3/1

Analysis

C&D winner. Winner here in August. 9/2, good second of 9 in handicap at Southwell (7.1f) 22 days ago. Nudged up 1 lb but is well drawn to attack.

3
Lerwick silk

Sixteen runs since last win in 2024. 3/1, good third of 12 in handicap at this C&D 40 days ago. Blinkers back on and weighted to be very competitive if not hindered by stall 11.

3rd Pick
3

Lerwick

Jockey: Edward Greatrex

Trainer: Mark Loughnane

J: Edward Greatrex

T: Mark Loughnane

97---20%4/1

Analysis

Sixteen runs since last win in 2024. 3/1, good third of 12 in handicap at this C&D 40 days ago. Blinkers back on and weighted to be very competitive if not hindered by stall 11.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.