GB - Kempton Park - Race 6

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Handicap

Synthetic

Standard / Slow

16.5K

VIEW

Verdict

A trappy sprint in which preference is for BUCCABAY, who had been holding his form well prior to his latest Newmarket effort and Eve Johnson Houghton's 6-y-o can bounce back quickly to open his 2026 account. Tyger Bay caused a 33/1 shock at Yarmouth last month and with 5 C&D wins to his name, he's put forward as the main threat. Mesaafi may prove best of the rest.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	A 2-time 6f scorer in 2025 (including over C&D). Yet to add to that this season but he's holding his form well, though did dip a little bit below his recent levels at Newmarket last time. Fancied to quickly bounce back now 2 lb below his last winning mark. 1st Pick 6 Buccabay (Ire) Jockey: Charles Bishop Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton J: Charles Bishop T: Eve Johnson Houghton	100	-	-	-	25%
Analysis A 2-time 6f scorer in 2025 (including over C&D). Yet to add to that this season but he's holding his form well, though did dip a little bit below his recent levels at Newmarket last time. Fancied to quickly bounce back now 2 lb below his last winning mark.
5	Returned to form from out of the blue to record a first victory on turf for over 2 years in 12-runner event at Yarmouth (6f, good) just under 3 weeks ago. Has 5 C&D wins on his record so shouldn't be underestimated from just 2 lb higher. 2nd Pick 5 Tyger Bay Jockey: Joe Leavy Trainer: Conrad Allen J: Joe Leavy T: Conrad Allen	96	-	-	-	5%
Analysis Returned to form from out of the blue to record a first victory on turf for over 2 years in 12-runner event at Yarmouth (6f, good) just under 3 weeks ago. Has 5 C&D wins on his record so shouldn't be underestimated from just 2 lb higher.
3	Resumed winning ways over 5f at Windsor in June and was unlucky not to finish even closer when beaten a half-length into fourth over the same C&D next time. Respectable efforts the last twice and worth a second look in a reapplied visor having dipped below his last winning mark. 3rd Pick 3 Mesaafi Jockey: Jack Mitchell Trainer: Ross Burdon J: Jack Mitchell T: Ross Burdon	98	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Resumed winning ways over 5f at Windsor in June and was unlucky not to finish even closer when beaten a half-length into fourth over the same C&D next time. Respectable efforts the last twice and worth a second look in a reapplied visor having dipped below his last winning mark.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.