GB - Kempton Park - Race 4

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Handicap

Synthetic

Standard / Slow

11.0K

VIEW

Verdict

Cases can be made for a number of these, but it could be worth siding with APACHE GREEN, who was demoted having edged right under pressure over C&D last month and his Wolverhampton effort 4 days later is easily excused. Simply Blue is down to a career-low mark and he can provide most resistance returned to 1m.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Has refound his form since blinkers fitted in December, demoted after dead-heating for first over C&D last month. Essentially a winner without a penalty but didn't get things run to suit when fifth of 9 at Wolverhampton (7/2) 4 days later. Plenty to like dropping back to 1m. 1st Pick 8 Apache Green Jockey: Kieran O'neill Trainer: S. P. C. Woods J: Kieran O'neill T: S. P. C. Woods	100	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Has refound his form since blinkers fitted in December, demoted after dead-heating for first over C&D last month. Essentially a winner without a penalty but didn't get things run to suit when fifth of 9 at Wolverhampton (7/2) 4 days later. Plenty to like dropping back to 1m.
13	Only one win from 26 runs but shaped well when third at Southwell last month, coming from further back than other principals. Not in the same form having been left poorly placed back there just under 3 weeks ago but he'd be folly to discount back at 1m from a career-low mark. 2nd Pick 13 Simply Blue Jockey: Ashley Lewis Trainer: James Owen J: Ashley Lewis T: James Owen	99	-	-	-	7%	15/1
Analysis Only one win from 26 runs but shaped well when third at Southwell last month, coming from further back than other principals. Not in the same form having been left poorly placed back there just under 3 weeks ago but he'd be folly to discount back at 1m from a career-low mark.
3	Much improved from yard debut when third last month, and backed that up a fortnight later (again over C&D) in filling that same position, albeit better placed than most. This represents a drop in grade. 3rd Pick 3 I Am Me (Ire) Jockey: Cieren Fallon Trainer: Mike Murphy J: Cieren Fallon T: Mike Murphy	97	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Much improved from yard debut when third last month, and backed that up a fortnight later (again over C&D) in filling that same position, albeit better placed than most. This represents a drop in grade.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.