GB - Kelso - Race 1

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

18.1f

Maiden Hurdle

Turf

Good (Good to Soft in places)

13.5K

VIEW

Verdict

SMOKE TRAIL ran quite well in a Newbury handicap last time and might be able to land a second course success of the campaign. The way Changemyluck stuck on for a second successive runner-up finish over 2m here 18 days ago suggests this slightly longer trip should suit and she's second choice ahead of Irish raider Herja, a winner at Sedgefield in the autumn.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Winning Irish pointer who jumped fluently when making all to beat subsequent winner on 2m course hurdle debut in October. Matched that on handicap bow at Newbury last time and he's a major player back in a novice. 1st Pick 1 Smoke Trail (Ire) Jockey: Derek Fox Trainer: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore J: Derek Fox T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore	100	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Winning Irish pointer who jumped fluently when making all to beat subsequent winner on 2m course hurdle debut in October. Matched that on handicap bow at Newbury last time and he's a major player back in a novice.
9	Fair form when runner-up in 2m course novices on her last 2 outings. Rallied after getting outpaced last time so this step back up in trip could suit. Another prominent showing is likely. 2nd Pick 9 Changemyluck Jockey: James Bowen Trainer: Stuart Coltherd J: James Bowen T: Stuart Coltherd	99	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Fair form when runner-up in 2m course novices on her last 2 outings. Rallied after getting outpaced last time so this step back up in trip could suit. Another prominent showing is likely.
4	Fair hurdler, winning a 2½m Sedgefield maiden (good) in September. Bettered that form when second at Wetherby 3 weeks later. Given a break after and should be spot on for this after a couple of runs over fences last month. 3rd Pick 4 Herja (Ire) Jockey: H. E. Sexton Trainer: Patrick Griffin, Ireland J: H. E. Sexton T: Patrick Griffin, Ireland	97	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Fair hurdler, winning a 2½m Sedgefield maiden (good) in September. Bettered that form when second at Wetherby 3 weeks later. Given a break after and should be spot on for this after a couple of runs over fences last month.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.