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Resulted

GB - Kelso - Race 1

Thoroughbred
3 Runners
17.1f
Maiden Chase
Turf
Good to Soft (Soft in places)
20.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

This should be fairly straightforward for Wetherby winner THE FOUR SIXES, with Aeros Luck's very best form still leaving him a bit to find with Olly Murphy's charge.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
The Four Sixes (Ire) silk

Useful sort who won a pair of handicap hurdles in the spring and completed a hat-trick in 19f Wetherby maiden chase on reappearance in October. Only sixth in a handicap hurdle since but this looks an excellent chance for him to resume winning ways.

1st Pick
2

The Four Sixes (Ire)

Jockey: Mr James King

Trainer: Olly Murphy

J: Mr James King

T: Olly Murphy

100---90%

Analysis

Useful sort who won a pair of handicap hurdles in the spring and completed a hat-trick in 19f Wetherby maiden chase on reappearance in October. Only sixth in a handicap hurdle since but this looks an excellent chance for him to resume winning ways.

1
Aeros Luck (Ire) silk

Won a 2m Punchestown handicap chase for Gavin Cromwell in June but has struggled to find the same form since, including in 2 C&D handicaps since joining Sandy Thomson. May find The Four Sixes too strong even if back to best.

2nd Pick
1

Aeros Luck (Ire)

Jockey: William Maggs

Trainer: Sandy Thomson

J: William Maggs

T: Sandy Thomson

82---23%

Analysis

Won a 2m Punchestown handicap chase for Gavin Cromwell in June but has struggled to find the same form since, including in 2 C&D handicaps since joining Sandy Thomson. May find The Four Sixes too strong even if back to best.

3
Chumlee (Ire) silk

Modest winning handicap hurdler. Not disgraced when fourth in a pair of C&D handicaps last month but faces a stiff task with his 2 rivals on these terms.

3rd Pick
3

Chumlee (Ire)

Jockey: Patrick Wadge

Trainer: Sandy Forster

J: Patrick Wadge

T: Sandy Forster

64---10%

Analysis

Modest winning handicap hurdler. Not disgraced when fourth in a pair of C&D handicaps last month but faces a stiff task with his 2 rivals on these terms.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.