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3:20 AM

Japan - Nakayama RC - Race 5

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
8f
Unknown
Turf
99.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

GRIANMHAR (9) is yet to miss the placings in two starts, including a win. Is at the races for the first time since he finished third over 7f at Tokyo on February 14. Has good ability and leading rider goes aboard. Expected to go close. MARGOT BLOW (7) is a talented colt who tackled tougher grade last time, finishing 5 lengths behind Diamond Knot over 7f in the G3 Falcon Stakes at Chukyo. Has good early toe so he should be handy in the run. Will give a great sight. ROUGE BLITZ (3) has not been sighted since she finished ninth over 7f at Tokyo on February 14. Everything points to a big run. WING BLUE (2) finished midfield when resuming from a break last start over 1 ?m at Chukyo Dirt, beaten 15 lengths at big odds. Has a high cruising speed. Sure to be thereabouts.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Grianmhar silk

Resuming. Finished off last preparation made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 16 at Tokyo on February 14 over 7f, long-neck behind Truscon Garden with 126lbs at $2.30. Won previous preparation first up favourite, scored a big 7 len win at Sapporo August 23 over 7 ½f defeating Miaette with 121lbs at $1.20. Has good ability and leading rider goes aboard. Expected to go close.

1st Pick
9

Grianmhar

Jockey: Christophe Lemaire

Trainer: Keisuke Miyata

J: Christophe Lemaire

T: Keisuke Miyata

195---50%1/1

Analysis

Resuming. Finished off last preparation made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 16 at Tokyo on February 14 over 7f, long-neck behind Truscon Garden with 126lbs at $2.30. Won previous preparation first up favourite, scored a big 7 len win at Sapporo August 23 over 7 ½f defeating Miaette with 121lbs at $1.20. Has good ability and leading rider goes aboard. Expected to go close.

7
Margot Blow silk

Returns from a 29-day let-up. Most recently 8th of 17 at Chukyo in the G3 Falcon Stakes on March 21 over 7f, 5 len behind Diamond Knot carrying 126lbs at $86.80. Before that 3rd of 12 at this track on March 1 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Rodeo Drive carrying 126lbs at $19.60. This much easier. Can make amends.

2nd Pick
7

Margot Blow

Jockey: Yutaka Take

Trainer: Shigenobu Isaka

J: Yutaka Take

T: Shigenobu Isaka

180---31%9/4

Analysis

Returns from a 29-day let-up. Most recently 8th of 17 at Chukyo in the G3 Falcon Stakes on March 21 over 7f, 5 len behind Diamond Knot carrying 126lbs at $86.80. Before that 3rd of 12 at this track on March 1 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Rodeo Drive carrying 126lbs at $19.60. This much easier. Can make amends.

3
Rouge Blitz silk

Resuming. Finished off last campaign 9th of 16 at Tokyo on February 14 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Truscon Garden carrying 121lbs at $18.90. When resuming last campaign 5th of 16 at this track on September 13 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Star Train with 121lbs at $9.70. Has won at this trip. Can get the job done.

3rd Pick
3

Rouge Blitz

Jockey: Kazuo Yokoyama

Trainer: M Koga

J: Kazuo Yokoyama

T: M Koga

65---11%17/2

Analysis

Resuming. Finished off last campaign 9th of 16 at Tokyo on February 14 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Truscon Garden carrying 121lbs at $18.90. When resuming last campaign 5th of 16 at this track on September 13 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Star Train with 121lbs at $9.70. Has won at this trip. Can get the job done.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.